Diplomatic tensions with Israel have persisted amid ongoing Middle East conflicts, including Iran's March 2026 offer of Strait of Hormuz transit incentives to any country expelling Israeli or U.S. ambassadors. Spain permanently recalled its own envoy from Israel that same month over policy disputes, following earlier ambassador recalls by nations such as Jordan, Turkey, and South Africa during prior Gaza-related phases. No verified expulsions of Israeli ambassadors have occurred in 2025 or 2026, however, and major powers have maintained standard diplomatic channels despite public criticisms and ICJ proceedings. Traders appear to view full expulsions as a high-threshold step unlikely before year-end absent a sharp new escalation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Expulsará algún país a un embajador israelí antes del 31 de diciembre?
¿Expulsará algún país a un embajador israelí antes del 31 de diciembre?
Sí
$34,289 Vol.
$34,289 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$34,289 Vol.
$34,289 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic tensions with Israel have persisted amid ongoing Middle East conflicts, including Iran's March 2026 offer of Strait of Hormuz transit incentives to any country expelling Israeli or U.S. ambassadors. Spain permanently recalled its own envoy from Israel that same month over policy disputes, following earlier ambassador recalls by nations such as Jordan, Turkey, and South Africa during prior Gaza-related phases. No verified expulsions of Israeli ambassadors have occurred in 2025 or 2026, however, and major powers have maintained standard diplomatic channels despite public criticisms and ICJ proceedings. Traders appear to view full expulsions as a high-threshold step unlikely before year-end absent a sharp new escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Volumen
$34,289Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic tensions with Israel have persisted amid ongoing Middle East conflicts, including Iran's March 2026 offer of Strait of Hormuz transit incentives to any country expelling Israeli or U.S. ambassadors. Spain permanently recalled its own envoy from Israel that same month over policy disputes, following earlier ambassador recalls by nations such as Jordan, Turkey, and South Africa during prior Gaza-related phases. No verified expulsions of Israeli ambassadors have occurred in 2025 or 2026, however, and major powers have maintained standard diplomatic channels despite public criticisms and ICJ proceedings. Traders appear to view full expulsions as a high-threshold step unlikely before year-end absent a sharp new escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$34,289Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic tensions with Israel have persisted amid ongoing Middle East conflicts, including Iran's March 2026 offer of Strait of Hormuz transit incentives to any country expelling Israeli or U.S. ambassadors. Spain permanently recalled its own envoy from Israel that same month over policy disputes, following earlier ambassador recalls by nations such as Jordan, Turkey, and South Africa during prior Gaza-related phases. No verified expulsions of Israeli ambassadors have occurred in 2025 or 2026, however, and major powers have maintained standard diplomatic channels despite public criticisms and ICJ proceedings. Traders appear to view full expulsions as a high-threshold step unlikely before year-end absent a sharp new escalation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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