The district's strong Democratic lean and the incumbent's established position explain the heavy trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Tim Kennedy, who captured 65 percent in 2024, faces Republican Dennis Hannon in the November 3 general election after the Republican primary was canceled and Kennedy advanced from the Democratic primary. The Buffalo-Niagara Falls area carries a partisan voting index that has consistently supported Democratic candidates by double-digit margins, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Democratic. With the June 23 primaries approaching and no major developments altering the landscape in recent weeks, odds remain anchored in these structural factors. Late-cycle shifts could still arise from national political currents, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout changes, though such outcomes have been rare in comparable districts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-26
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-26
$24,819 Vol.
$24,819 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
92%
Partido Republicano
10%
$24,819 Vol.
$24,819 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$13,225 Vol.
92%
Partido Republicano
$11,595 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean and the incumbent's established position explain the heavy trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Tim Kennedy, who captured 65 percent in 2024, faces Republican Dennis Hannon in the November 3 general election after the Republican primary was canceled and Kennedy advanced from the Democratic primary. The Buffalo-Niagara Falls area carries a partisan voting index that has consistently supported Democratic candidates by double-digit margins, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Democratic. With the June 23 primaries approaching and no major developments altering the landscape in recent weeks, odds remain anchored in these structural factors. Late-cycle shifts could still arise from national political currents, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout changes, though such outcomes have been rare in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$24,819Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean and the incumbent's established position explain the heavy trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Tim Kennedy, who captured 65 percent in 2024, faces Republican Dennis Hannon in the November 3 general election after the Republican primary was canceled and Kennedy advanced from the Democratic primary. The Buffalo-Niagara Falls area carries a partisan voting index that has consistently supported Democratic candidates by double-digit margins, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Democratic. With the June 23 primaries approaching and no major developments altering the landscape in recent weeks, odds remain anchored in these structural factors. Late-cycle shifts could still arise from national political currents, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout changes, though such outcomes have been rare in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$24,819Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean and the incumbent's established position explain the heavy trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Tim Kennedy, who captured 65 percent in 2024, faces Republican Dennis Hannon in the November 3 general election after the Republican primary was canceled and Kennedy advanced from the Democratic primary. The Buffalo-Niagara Falls area carries a partisan voting index that has consistently supported Democratic candidates by double-digit margins, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Democratic. With the June 23 primaries approaching and no major developments altering the landscape in recent weeks, odds remain anchored in these structural factors. Late-cycle shifts could still arise from national political currents, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout changes, though such outcomes have been rare in comparable districts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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