Incumbent Oh Se-hoon secured a narrow victory in the June 3, 2026, Seoul mayoral election as the People Power Party candidate, defeating Democratic Party challenger Chong Won-o by roughly 0.6 percentage points after late-counting shifts from conservative strongholds south of the Han River reversed early exit poll deficits. Final tallies placed Oh at approximately 49.2 percent and Chong at 48.1 percent, confirming a margin under 3 percent and aligning with the market's near-certain pricing on that outcome. Strong homeowner and real-estate-focused turnout in districts such as Gangnam, Seocho, and Songpa proved decisive amid otherwise competitive citywide voting patterns. While full official certification remains pending, no major irregularities or recounts have emerged to alter the established result.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory
Oh Se-hoon <3% 99.6%
Chong Won-oh 3-6% <1%
Chong Won-oh <3% <1%
Chong Won-oh 9%+ <1%
$205,708 Vol.
$205,708 Vol.
3 jun 2026
Chong Won-oh 9%+
<1%
Chong Won-oh 6-9%
<1%
Chong Won-oh 3-6%
<1%
Chong Won-oh <3%
<1%
Oh Se-hoon <3%
100%
Oh Se-hoon 3-6%
<1%
Oh Se-hoon 6%+
<1%
Other
<1%
Oh Se-hoon <3% 99.6%
Chong Won-oh 3-6% <1%
Chong Won-oh <3% <1%
Chong Won-oh 9%+ <1%
$205,708 Vol.
$205,708 Vol.
3 jun 2026
Chong Won-oh 9%+
$20,469 Vol.
<1%
Chong Won-oh 6-9%
$20,226 Vol.
<1%
Chong Won-oh 3-6%
$35,762 Vol.
<1%
Chong Won-oh <3%
$51,884 Vol.
<1%
Oh Se-hoon <3%
$35,237 Vol.
100%
Oh Se-hoon 3-6%
$22,293 Vol.
<1%
Oh Se-hoon 6%+
$11,606 Vol.
<1%
Other
$8,231 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Incumbent Oh Se-hoon secured a narrow victory in the June 3, 2026, Seoul mayoral election as the People Power Party candidate, defeating Democratic Party challenger Chong Won-o by roughly 0.6 percentage points after late-counting shifts from conservative strongholds south of the Han River reversed early exit poll deficits. Final tallies placed Oh at approximately 49.2 percent and Chong at 48.1 percent, confirming a margin under 3 percent and aligning with the market's near-certain pricing on that outcome. Strong homeowner and real-estate-focused turnout in districts such as Gangnam, Seocho, and Songpa proved decisive amid otherwise competitive citywide voting patterns. While full official certification remains pending, no major irregularities or recounts have emerged to alter the established result.
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Volumen
$205,708Fecha de finalización
3 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Incumbent Oh Se-hoon secured a narrow victory in the June 3, 2026, Seoul mayoral election as the People Power Party candidate, defeating Democratic Party challenger Chong Won-o by roughly 0.6 percentage points after late-counting shifts from conservative strongholds south of the Han River reversed early exit poll deficits. Final tallies placed Oh at approximately 49.2 percent and Chong at 48.1 percent, confirming a margin under 3 percent and aligning with the market's near-certain pricing on that outcome. Strong homeowner and real-estate-focused turnout in districts such as Gangnam, Seocho, and Songpa proved decisive amid otherwise competitive citywide voting patterns. While full official certification remains pending, no major irregularities or recounts have emerged to alter the established result.
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$205,708Fecha de finalización
3 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Oh Se-hoon secured a narrow victory in the June 3, 2026, Seoul mayoral election as the People Power Party candidate, defeating Democratic Party challenger Chong Won-o by roughly 0.6 percentage points after late-counting shifts from conservative strongholds south of the Han River reversed early exit poll deficits. Final tallies placed Oh at approximately 49.2 percent and Chong at 48.1 percent, confirming a margin under 3 percent and aligning with the market's near-certain pricing on that outcome. Strong homeowner and real-estate-focused turnout in districts such as Gangnam, Seocho, and Songpa proved decisive amid otherwise competitive citywide voting patterns. While full official certification remains pending, no major irregularities or recounts have emerged to alter the established result.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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