Recent CBS News polling and the April 28 gubernatorial debate underscore a tight three-way contest for first place in California's nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, with trader consensus favoring Tom Steyer's heavy self-funding at 36.5¢ implied probability, Xavier Becerra's post-Eric Swalwell dropout surge to 31¢, and Steve Hilton's outsider appeal amid voter concerns over cost of living to 29.5¢. Swalwell's mid-April exit due to misconduct allegations freed Democratic support, boosting Becerra, while Steyer's ad blitz and Hilton's critiques of state policies like climate mandates sustain the deadlock among high undecideds. Final ad spending, endorsements, and turnout in the final month could tip the balance in this crowded field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTom Steyer 37%
Xavier Becerra 31%
Steve Hilton 29%
Matt Mahan 2.7%
$14,014 Vol.
$14,014 Vol.
2 jun 2026
Tom Steyer
37%
Xavier Becerra
31%
Steve Hilton
29%
Matt Mahan
3%
Leo Zacky
2%
Nicki Minaj
2%
Tony Thurmond
2%
Carolina Buhler
2%
Elaine Culotti
2%
Chad Bianco
2%
Derek Grasty
1%
Katie Porter
1%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
Raji Rab
1%
Thunder Parley
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Betty Yee
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
<1%
Tom Steyer 37%
Xavier Becerra 31%
Steve Hilton 29%
Matt Mahan 2.7%
$14,014 Vol.
$14,014 Vol.
2 jun 2026
Tom Steyer
$2,424 Vol.
37%
Xavier Becerra
$3,673 Vol.
31%
Steve Hilton
$934 Vol.
29%
Matt Mahan
$1,020 Vol.
3%
Leo Zacky
$456 Vol.
2%
Nicki Minaj
$409 Vol.
2%
Tony Thurmond
$344 Vol.
2%
Carolina Buhler
$410 Vol.
2%
Elaine Culotti
$320 Vol.
2%
Chad Bianco
$544 Vol.
2%
Derek Grasty
$473 Vol.
1%
Katie Porter
$616 Vol.
1%
Daniel Mercuri
$428 Vol.
1%
Raji Rab
$452 Vol.
1%
Thunder Parley
$301 Vol.
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
$376 Vol.
<1%
Betty Yee
$454 Vol.
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
$381 Vol.
<1%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent CBS News polling and the April 28 gubernatorial debate underscore a tight three-way contest for first place in California's nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, with trader consensus favoring Tom Steyer's heavy self-funding at 36.5¢ implied probability, Xavier Becerra's post-Eric Swalwell dropout surge to 31¢, and Steve Hilton's outsider appeal amid voter concerns over cost of living to 29.5¢. Swalwell's mid-April exit due to misconduct allegations freed Democratic support, boosting Becerra, while Steyer's ad blitz and Hilton's critiques of state policies like climate mandates sustain the deadlock among high undecideds. Final ad spending, endorsements, and turnout in the final month could tip the balance in this crowded field.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Volumen
$14,014Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent CBS News polling and the April 28 gubernatorial debate underscore a tight three-way contest for first place in California's nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, with trader consensus favoring Tom Steyer's heavy self-funding at 36.5¢ implied probability, Xavier Becerra's post-Eric Swalwell dropout surge to 31¢, and Steve Hilton's outsider appeal amid voter concerns over cost of living to 29.5¢. Swalwell's mid-April exit due to misconduct allegations freed Democratic support, boosting Becerra, while Steyer's ad blitz and Hilton's critiques of state policies like climate mandates sustain the deadlock among high undecideds. Final ad spending, endorsements, and turnout in the final month could tip the balance in this crowded field.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volumen
$14,014Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent CBS News polling and the April 28 gubernatorial debate underscore a tight three-way contest for first place in California's nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, with trader consensus favoring Tom Steyer's heavy self-funding at 36.5¢ implied probability, Xavier Becerra's post-Eric Swalwell dropout surge to 31¢, and Steve Hilton's outsider appeal amid voter concerns over cost of living to 29.5¢. Swalwell's mid-April exit due to misconduct allegations freed Democratic support, boosting Becerra, while Steyer's ad blitz and Hilton's critiques of state policies like climate mandates sustain the deadlock among high undecideds. Final ad spending, endorsements, and turnout in the final month could tip the balance in this crowded field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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