New York’s 16th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent results favoring the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat George Latimer secured the seat in 2024 with more than 70 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed through the canceled 2026 Democratic primary, while the Republican nominee faces limited organizational and fundraising support. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or major scandals, underpin the current trader consensus assigning overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected retirement, significant national political shift, or unforeseen legal issue could theoretically alter the race, though none appear imminent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-16
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-16
$35,389 Vol.
$35,389 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
3%
$35,389 Vol.
$35,389 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$25,255 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$10,134 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 16th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent results favoring the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat George Latimer secured the seat in 2024 with more than 70 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed through the canceled 2026 Democratic primary, while the Republican nominee faces limited organizational and fundraising support. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or major scandals, underpin the current trader consensus assigning overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected retirement, significant national political shift, or unforeseen legal issue could theoretically alter the race, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$35,389Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 16th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent results favoring the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat George Latimer secured the seat in 2024 with more than 70 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed through the canceled 2026 Democratic primary, while the Republican nominee faces limited organizational and fundraising support. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or major scandals, underpin the current trader consensus assigning overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected retirement, significant national political shift, or unforeseen legal issue could theoretically alter the race, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$35,389Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 16th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent results favoring the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat George Latimer secured the seat in 2024 with more than 70 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed through the canceled 2026 Democratic primary, while the Republican nominee faces limited organizational and fundraising support. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or major scandals, underpin the current trader consensus assigning overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected retirement, significant national political shift, or unforeseen legal issue could theoretically alter the race, though none appear imminent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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