New York’s Fifth Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 23 contest and holds substantial campaign resources, aligning with the district’s urban Queens demographics and long-standing voting patterns that have favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican nominee limited prospects in the November general election. A major scandal involving the incumbent, unexpected court-ordered redistricting shifts, or an unusually adverse national political environment could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on current structural conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NY-05
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NY-05
$23,998 Vol.
$23,998 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$23,998 Vol.
$23,998 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$16,222 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$7,777 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s Fifth Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 23 contest and holds substantial campaign resources, aligning with the district’s urban Queens demographics and long-standing voting patterns that have favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican nominee limited prospects in the November general election. A major scandal involving the incumbent, unexpected court-ordered redistricting shifts, or an unusually adverse national political environment could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on current structural conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$23,998Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s Fifth Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 23 contest and holds substantial campaign resources, aligning with the district’s urban Queens demographics and long-standing voting patterns that have favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican nominee limited prospects in the November general election. A major scandal involving the incumbent, unexpected court-ordered redistricting shifts, or an unusually adverse national political environment could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on current structural conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$23,998Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s Fifth Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 23 contest and holds substantial campaign resources, aligning with the district’s urban Queens demographics and long-standing voting patterns that have favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican nominee limited prospects in the November general election. A major scandal involving the incumbent, unexpected court-ordered redistricting shifts, or an unusually adverse national political environment could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on current structural conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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