Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a structural advantage in New York’s 1st congressional district, which carries an R+4 Partisan Voter Index and has supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. LaLota won reelection in 2024 with 55 percent of the vote, and nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Primaries are scheduled for June 23, with Democratic contenders still seeking the nomination and facing gaps in name recognition and fundraising. A December 2025 poll showed LaLota leading a generic opponent by three points. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-01
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-01
$30,044 Vol.
$30,044 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
56%
Partido Demócrata
43%
$30,044 Vol.
$30,044 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,008 Vol.
56%
Partido Demócrata
$21,036 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a structural advantage in New York’s 1st congressional district, which carries an R+4 Partisan Voter Index and has supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. LaLota won reelection in 2024 with 55 percent of the vote, and nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Primaries are scheduled for June 23, with Democratic contenders still seeking the nomination and facing gaps in name recognition and fundraising. A December 2025 poll showed LaLota leading a generic opponent by three points. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$30,044Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a structural advantage in New York’s 1st congressional district, which carries an R+4 Partisan Voter Index and has supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. LaLota won reelection in 2024 with 55 percent of the vote, and nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Primaries are scheduled for June 23, with Democratic contenders still seeking the nomination and facing gaps in name recognition and fundraising. A December 2025 poll showed LaLota leading a generic opponent by three points. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$30,044Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a structural advantage in New York’s 1st congressional district, which carries an R+4 Partisan Voter Index and has supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. LaLota won reelection in 2024 with 55 percent of the vote, and nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Primaries are scheduled for June 23, with Democratic contenders still seeking the nomination and facing gaps in name recognition and fundraising. A December 2025 poll showed LaLota leading a generic opponent by three points. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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