Israeli forces advanced beyond the Litani River in late May 2026, capturing strategic sites including Beaufort Ridge during expanded ground operations against Hezbollah positions. This followed earlier withdrawals to the Blue Line and came amid renewed US-mediated talks. On June 3, Israel and Lebanon announced a conditional ceasefire framework calling for Hezbollah's withdrawal south of the Litani, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in pilot zones, and parallel Israeli pullbacks. Hezbollah rejected the terms the next day, insisting on a full Israeli exit from southern Lebanon without phased security arrangements. These stalled negotiations, combined with ongoing cross-border incidents and Israeli emphasis on verified demilitarization, shape trader assessments of any near-term withdrawal timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?
¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?
$12,344 Vol.
16 jun 2026
15 de junio
3%
30 de junio
13%
$12,344 Vol.
15 de junio
$501 Vol.
3%
30 de junio
$11,843 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces advanced beyond the Litani River in late May 2026, capturing strategic sites including Beaufort Ridge during expanded ground operations against Hezbollah positions. This followed earlier withdrawals to the Blue Line and came amid renewed US-mediated talks. On June 3, Israel and Lebanon announced a conditional ceasefire framework calling for Hezbollah's withdrawal south of the Litani, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in pilot zones, and parallel Israeli pullbacks. Hezbollah rejected the terms the next day, insisting on a full Israeli exit from southern Lebanon without phased security arrangements. These stalled negotiations, combined with ongoing cross-border incidents and Israeli emphasis on verified demilitarization, shape trader assessments of any near-term withdrawal timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 7, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Volumen
$12,344Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces advanced beyond the Litani River in late May 2026, capturing strategic sites including Beaufort Ridge during expanded ground operations against Hezbollah positions. This followed earlier withdrawals to the Blue Line and came amid renewed US-mediated talks. On June 3, Israel and Lebanon announced a conditional ceasefire framework calling for Hezbollah's withdrawal south of the Litani, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in pilot zones, and parallel Israeli pullbacks. Hezbollah rejected the terms the next day, insisting on a full Israeli exit from southern Lebanon without phased security arrangements. These stalled negotiations, combined with ongoing cross-border incidents and Israeli emphasis on verified demilitarization, shape trader assessments of any near-term withdrawal timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volumen
$12,344Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces advanced beyond the Litani River in late May 2026, capturing strategic sites including Beaufort Ridge during expanded ground operations against Hezbollah positions. This followed earlier withdrawals to the Blue Line and came amid renewed US-mediated talks. On June 3, Israel and Lebanon announced a conditional ceasefire framework calling for Hezbollah's withdrawal south of the Litani, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in pilot zones, and parallel Israeli pullbacks. Hezbollah rejected the terms the next day, insisting on a full Israeli exit from southern Lebanon without phased security arrangements. These stalled negotiations, combined with ongoing cross-border incidents and Israeli emphasis on verified demilitarization, shape trader assessments of any near-term withdrawal timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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