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icon for ¿Israel e Indonesia normalizan las relaciones por...?

¿Israel e Indonesia normalizan las relaciones por...?

icon for ¿Israel e Indonesia normalizan las relaciones por...?

¿Israel e Indonesia normalizan las relaciones por...?

$728,756 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$728,756 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junio de 2026

$304,410 Vol.

5%

31 de diciembre de 2026

$424,346 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Indonesia upholds its longstanding non-recognition of Israel, lacking formal diplomatic relations amid entrenched public opposition—polls indicate over 75% of Indonesians against normalization—and solidarity with Palestine. In the past month, Jakarta joined foreign ministers from Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey, and others in condemning Israel's April appointment of an envoy to Somaliland as a sovereignty violation, while strongly denouncing the death of Indonesian UNIFIL peacekeeper Rico Pramudia from injuries in a March 29 projectile explosion at a Lebanon base. Foreign Ministry statements explicitly rule out normalization, reinforcing trader consensus on slim prospects before the June 30, 2026, deadline despite President Prabowo Subianto's occasionally softer rhetoric on potential ties. Regional tensions, including Gaza developments, remain key barriers, with no scheduled bilateral summits announced.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$728,756
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Indonesia upholds its longstanding non-recognition of Israel, lacking formal diplomatic relations amid entrenched public opposition—polls indicate over 75% of Indonesians against normalization—and solidarity with Palestine. In the past month, Jakarta joined foreign ministers from Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey, and others in condemning Israel's April appointment of an envoy to Somaliland as a sovereignty violation, while strongly denouncing the death of Indonesian UNIFIL peacekeeper Rico Pramudia from injuries in a March 29 projectile explosion at a Lebanon base. Foreign Ministry statements explicitly rule out normalization, reinforcing trader consensus on slim prospects before the June 30, 2026, deadline despite President Prabowo Subianto's occasionally softer rhetoric on potential ties. Regional tensions, including Gaza developments, remain key barriers, with no scheduled bilateral summits announced.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$728,756
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Israel e Indonesia normalizan las relaciones por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 12%, seguido de "30 de junio de 2026" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 12¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 12% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Israel e Indonesia normalizan las relaciones por...?" ha generado $728.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Israel e Indonesia normalizan las relaciones por...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Israel e Indonesia normalizan las relaciones por...?" es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 12%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 12% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de junio de 2026" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Israel e Indonesia normalizan las relaciones por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.