Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs exactly 12 SpaceX launches in April 2026 at 88.2% implied probability, driven by the flawless execution of Starlink Group 17-36 from Vandenberg SLC-4E early on April 30 UTC—marking the month's capstone mission after 11 prior successes. This surge reflects SpaceX's blistering cadence, hitting the 50th orbital flight of the year by April 26 amid booming Starlink demand, with key highlights including the Falcon Heavy debut for ViaSat-3 APAC on April 29 from Kennedy LC-39A, GPS III-10 on April 21, and frequent Starlink batches from Florida and California pads. Multiple booster landings, like those at LZ-40 and droneships, underscore reliability. With midnight ET approaching and no further manifests, ≤11 at 5.9% hinges on rare scrub recounts, while higher tallies fade absent scrambles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado12 79.9%
13 2.5%
15 <1%
16 <1%
$99,158 Vol.
$99,158 Vol.
≤11
6%
12
89%
13
2%
14
<1%
15
<1%
16
<1%
17 o más
<1%
12 79.9%
13 2.5%
15 <1%
16 <1%
$99,158 Vol.
$99,158 Vol.
≤11
6%
12
89%
13
2%
14
<1%
15
<1%
16
<1%
17 o más
<1%
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs exactly 12 SpaceX launches in April 2026 at 88.2% implied probability, driven by the flawless execution of Starlink Group 17-36 from Vandenberg SLC-4E early on April 30 UTC—marking the month's capstone mission after 11 prior successes. This surge reflects SpaceX's blistering cadence, hitting the 50th orbital flight of the year by April 26 amid booming Starlink demand, with key highlights including the Falcon Heavy debut for ViaSat-3 APAC on April 29 from Kennedy LC-39A, GPS III-10 on April 21, and frequent Starlink batches from Florida and California pads. Multiple booster landings, like those at LZ-40 and droneships, underscore reliability. With midnight ET approaching and no further manifests, ≤11 at 5.9% hinges on rare scrub recounts, while higher tallies fade absent scrambles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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