Global seismic activity through mid-June 2026 has produced six confirmed magnitude 7.0–7.9 events, including the recent M7.8 offshore Mindanao on June 7, according to USGS data. This pace aligns closely with the long-term average of 15–20 M7+ earthquakes annually, or roughly 7–10 by the end of June. No M8+ events have occurred, and the final 16 days of the period carry low odds of multiple additional large ruptures given typical daily rates near 0.04–0.05. Subduction zones along the Pacific Ring of Fire continue to dominate, yet current aftershock sequences and lack of major foreshock clusters limit near-term escalation. Trader consensus therefore centers on totals of eight or nine, reflecting both the observed count and the narrow remaining window before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos terremotos de 7.0 o más para el 30 de junio? (Ataques más altos)
≤8 51%
9 21%
10 8.8%
12 1.9%
$107,997 Vol.
$107,997 Vol.
≤8
51%
9
25%
10
9%
11
2%
12
2%
13
1%
14+
1%
≤8 51%
9 21%
10 8.8%
12 1.9%
$107,997 Vol.
$107,997 Vol.
≤8
51%
9
25%
10
9%
11
2%
12
2%
13
1%
14+
1%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic activity through mid-June 2026 has produced six confirmed magnitude 7.0–7.9 events, including the recent M7.8 offshore Mindanao on June 7, according to USGS data. This pace aligns closely with the long-term average of 15–20 M7+ earthquakes annually, or roughly 7–10 by the end of June. No M8+ events have occurred, and the final 16 days of the period carry low odds of multiple additional large ruptures given typical daily rates near 0.04–0.05. Subduction zones along the Pacific Ring of Fire continue to dominate, yet current aftershock sequences and lack of major foreshock clusters limit near-term escalation. Trader consensus therefore centers on totals of eight or nine, reflecting both the observed count and the narrow remaining window before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes