**SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a June 2026 IPO, revealed April 1, drives trader consensus at 56% implied probability for a closing market cap over $2 trillion, surpassing the reported $1.75 trillion target amid Starlink's mega-constellation expansion to millions of subscribers and Starship's reusable launch vehicle milestones.** Recent private valuations exceeding $1.2 trillion, fueled by xAI merger synergies blending satellite broadband with artificial intelligence infrastructure, have shifted sentiment upward from lower brackets like 1.6T–1.8T (11.9%). Traders eye early June roadshow and May S-1 filing as key catalysts, though regulatory hurdles for orbital refueling and market volatility could temper the premium. No IPO before 2028 odds languish at 3.5%, reflecting firm listing momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMás de 2,0 billones 56%
1,8T–2,0T 13%
1.6T–1.8T 11.9%
1.4T–1.6T 5.8%
$893,419 Vol.
$893,419 Vol.
31 dic 2027
No salida a bolsa antes de 2028
3%
<1,0T
5%
1.0T–1.2T
3%
1,2T–1,4T
5%
1.4T–1.6T
6%
1.6T–1.8T
12%
1,8T–2,0T
13%
Más de 2,0 billones
56%
Más de 2,0 billones 56%
1,8T–2,0T 13%
1.6T–1.8T 11.9%
1.4T–1.6T 5.8%
$893,419 Vol.
$893,419 Vol.
31 dic 2027
No salida a bolsa antes de 2028
$183,586 Vol.
3%
<1,0T
$70,533 Vol.
5%
1.0T–1.2T
$51,305 Vol.
3%
1,2T–1,4T
$67,299 Vol.
5%
1.4T–1.6T
$112,478 Vol.
6%
1.6T–1.8T
$115,676 Vol.
12%
1,8T–2,0T
$98,548 Vol.
13%
Más de 2,0 billones
$194,065 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a June 2026 IPO, revealed April 1, drives trader consensus at 56% implied probability for a closing market cap over $2 trillion, surpassing the reported $1.75 trillion target amid Starlink's mega-constellation expansion to millions of subscribers and Starship's reusable launch vehicle milestones.** Recent private valuations exceeding $1.2 trillion, fueled by xAI merger synergies blending satellite broadband with artificial intelligence infrastructure, have shifted sentiment upward from lower brackets like 1.6T–1.8T (11.9%). Traders eye early June roadshow and May S-1 filing as key catalysts, though regulatory hurdles for orbital refueling and market volatility could temper the premium. No IPO before 2028 odds languish at 3.5%, reflecting firm listing momentum.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Volumen
$893,419Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a June 2026 IPO, revealed April 1, drives trader consensus at 56% implied probability for a closing market cap over $2 trillion, surpassing the reported $1.75 trillion target amid Starlink's mega-constellation expansion to millions of subscribers and Starship's reusable launch vehicle milestones.** Recent private valuations exceeding $1.2 trillion, fueled by xAI merger synergies blending satellite broadband with artificial intelligence infrastructure, have shifted sentiment upward from lower brackets like 1.6T–1.8T (11.9%). Traders eye early June roadshow and May S-1 filing as key catalysts, though regulatory hurdles for orbital refueling and market volatility could temper the premium. No IPO before 2028 odds languish at 3.5%, reflecting firm listing momentum.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$893,419Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a June 2026 IPO, revealed April 1, drives trader consensus at 56% implied probability for a closing market cap over $2 trillion, surpassing the reported $1.75 trillion target amid Starlink's mega-constellation expansion to millions of subscribers and Starship's reusable launch vehicle milestones.** Recent private valuations exceeding $1.2 trillion, fueled by xAI merger synergies blending satellite broadband with artificial intelligence infrastructure, have shifted sentiment upward from lower brackets like 1.6T–1.8T (11.9%). Traders eye early June roadshow and May S-1 filing as key catalysts, though regulatory hurdles for orbital refueling and market volatility could temper the premium. No IPO before 2028 odds languish at 3.5%, reflecting firm listing momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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