Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 12 SpaceX launches in April 2026 at 89.5% implied probability, driven by the official tally on SpaceX's launches page confirming exactly that number as the month concluded on April 30. Key late-April catalysts include the April 26 Starlink mission marking the company's 50th orbital flight of the year, a pair of April 29 launches—Starlink from Vandenberg and Viasat-3 Americas on Falcon Heavy from Kennedy Space Center—and a final Starlink Group 17-36 on April 30. With no further activity possible and the manifest finalized, higher outcomes like 13 carry negligible odds amid this skin-in-the-game certainty, though resolution awaits formal verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado12 89.5%
13 2.0%
15 <1%
14 <1%
$99,107 Vol.
$99,107 Vol.
30 abr 2026
12
90%
13
2%
14
<1%
15
<1%
16
<1%
17 o más
<1%
12 89.5%
13 2.0%
15 <1%
14 <1%
$99,107 Vol.
$99,107 Vol.
30 abr 2026
12
$4,426 Vol.
90%
13
$14,971 Vol.
2%
14
$24,193 Vol.
<1%
15
$2,648 Vol.
<1%
16
$42,825 Vol.
<1%
17 o más
$3,974 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 12 SpaceX launches in April 2026 at 89.5% implied probability, driven by the official tally on SpaceX's launches page confirming exactly that number as the month concluded on April 30. Key late-April catalysts include the April 26 Starlink mission marking the company's 50th orbital flight of the year, a pair of April 29 launches—Starlink from Vandenberg and Viasat-3 Americas on Falcon Heavy from Kennedy Space Center—and a final Starlink Group 17-36 on April 30. With no further activity possible and the manifest finalized, higher outcomes like 13 carry negligible odds amid this skin-in-the-game certainty, though resolution awaits formal verification.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Volumen
$99,107Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 12 SpaceX launches in April 2026 at 89.5% implied probability, driven by the official tally on SpaceX's launches page confirming exactly that number as the month concluded on April 30. Key late-April catalysts include the April 26 Starlink mission marking the company's 50th orbital flight of the year, a pair of April 29 launches—Starlink from Vandenberg and Viasat-3 Americas on Falcon Heavy from Kennedy Space Center—and a final Starlink Group 17-36 on April 30. With no further activity possible and the manifest finalized, higher outcomes like 13 carry negligible odds amid this skin-in-the-game certainty, though resolution awaits formal verification.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Volumen
$99,107Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 12 SpaceX launches in April 2026 at 89.5% implied probability, driven by the official tally on SpaceX's launches page confirming exactly that number as the month concluded on April 30. Key late-April catalysts include the April 26 Starlink mission marking the company's 50th orbital flight of the year, a pair of April 29 launches—Starlink from Vandenberg and Viasat-3 Americas on Falcon Heavy from Kennedy Space Center—and a final Starlink Group 17-36 on April 30. With no further activity possible and the manifest finalized, higher outcomes like 13 carry negligible odds amid this skin-in-the-game certainty, though resolution awaits formal verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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