Preliminary data from the Copernicus Marine Service and Mercator Ocean, released in late April 2026, confirm April 2026 as the second-warmest April on record for global sea surface temperatures at 21.08°C, trailing only April 2024 amid lingering El Niño effects boosting equatorial Pacific heat. Trader consensus, however, implies 89.8% odds for third-hottest via NOAA's Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index, likely due to cooler land surface anomalies offsetting ocean warmth in the combined metric or pending data refinements. This positions it behind 2024 and 2023 records, with final NOAA rankings expected mid-May amid inherent uncertainties in monthly reanalyses and ongoing ENSO transition to neutral conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Los días 1, 2 y 3 de abril de 2026 son los más calurosos de la historia?
¿Los días 1, 2 y 3 de abril de 2026 son los más calurosos de la historia?
3º más caluroso 89.9%
Segundo más caluroso 7.8%
Cuarto o inferior <1%
El más caluroso <1%
$88,777 Vol.
$88,777 Vol.
10 may 2026
El más caluroso
1%
Segundo más caluroso
8%
3º más caluroso
90%
Cuarto o inferior
1%
3º más caluroso 89.9%
Segundo más caluroso 7.8%
Cuarto o inferior <1%
El más caluroso <1%
$88,777 Vol.
$88,777 Vol.
10 may 2026
El más caluroso
$10,817 Vol.
1%
Segundo más caluroso
$23,381 Vol.
8%
3º más caluroso
$18,701 Vol.
90%
Cuarto o inferior
$35,878 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 versus the data points available for all other Aprils on record.
Note: If April 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Preliminary data from the Copernicus Marine Service and Mercator Ocean, released in late April 2026, confirm April 2026 as the second-warmest April on record for global sea surface temperatures at 21.08°C, trailing only April 2024 amid lingering El Niño effects boosting equatorial Pacific heat. Trader consensus, however, implies 89.8% odds for third-hottest via NOAA's Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index, likely due to cooler land surface anomalies offsetting ocean warmth in the combined metric or pending data refinements. This positions it behind 2024 and 2023 records, with final NOAA rankings expected mid-May amid inherent uncertainties in monthly reanalyses and ongoing ENSO transition to neutral conditions.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 versus the data points available for all other Aprils on record.
Note: If April 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If April 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volumen
$88,777Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 versus the data points available for all other Aprils on record.
Note: If April 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Preliminary data from the Copernicus Marine Service and Mercator Ocean, released in late April 2026, confirm April 2026 as the second-warmest April on record for global sea surface temperatures at 21.08°C, trailing only April 2024 amid lingering El Niño effects boosting equatorial Pacific heat. Trader consensus, however, implies 89.8% odds for third-hottest via NOAA's Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index, likely due to cooler land surface anomalies offsetting ocean warmth in the combined metric or pending data refinements. This positions it behind 2024 and 2023 records, with final NOAA rankings expected mid-May amid inherent uncertainties in monthly reanalyses and ongoing ENSO transition to neutral conditions.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 versus the data points available for all other Aprils on record.
Note: If April 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If April 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for April 2026 is provided by NASA by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Volumen
$88,777Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary data from the Copernicus Marine Service and Mercator Ocean, released in late April 2026, confirm April 2026 as the second-warmest April on record for global sea surface temperatures at 21.08°C, trailing only April 2024 amid lingering El Niño effects boosting equatorial Pacific heat. Trader consensus, however, implies 89.8% odds for third-hottest via NOAA's Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index, likely due to cooler land surface anomalies offsetting ocean warmth in the combined metric or pending data refinements. This positions it behind 2024 and 2023 records, with final NOAA rankings expected mid-May amid inherent uncertainties in monthly reanalyses and ongoing ENSO transition to neutral conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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