Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF project Shenzhen's May 15 high temperature around 28-29°C under thundershowers and overcast skies, explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 28°C (27.5%), 29°C (26.5%), and 30°C or higher (34.5%). Persistent southerly winds transport Gulf of Thailand moisture, fueling convective activity with 90% precipitation odds that cap solar heating, while the urban heat island effect and potential mid-afternoon clearing offer a pathway to 30°C+. This reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in cloud evolution and storm timing, consistent with May climatology averaging 29.5°C highs. Traders await Shenzhen Observatory hourly data and final CMA advisories for resolution-defining observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 15 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 15 de mayo?
30°C o más 37%
29°C 28%
28°C 27%
27°C 8%
NUEVO
$12,480 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,480 Vol.
15 may 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
27%
29°C
28%
30°C o más
37%
30°C o más 37%
29°C 28%
28°C 27%
27°C 8%
NUEVO
$12,480 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,480 Vol.
15 may 2026
20°C o menos
$2,465 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,301 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,866 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$780 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$570 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$284 Vol.
1%
26°C
$254 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,014 Vol.
8%
28°C
$339 Vol.
27%
29°C
$788 Vol.
28%
30°C o más
$1,818 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF project Shenzhen's May 15 high temperature around 28-29°C under thundershowers and overcast skies, explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 28°C (27.5%), 29°C (26.5%), and 30°C or higher (34.5%). Persistent southerly winds transport Gulf of Thailand moisture, fueling convective activity with 90% precipitation odds that cap solar heating, while the urban heat island effect and potential mid-afternoon clearing offer a pathway to 30°C+. This reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in cloud evolution and storm timing, consistent with May climatology averaging 29.5°C highs. Traders await Shenzhen Observatory hourly data and final CMA advisories for resolution-defining observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$12,480Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF project Shenzhen's May 15 high temperature around 28-29°C under thundershowers and overcast skies, explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 28°C (27.5%), 29°C (26.5%), and 30°C or higher (34.5%). Persistent southerly winds transport Gulf of Thailand moisture, fueling convective activity with 90% precipitation odds that cap solar heating, while the urban heat island effect and potential mid-afternoon clearing offer a pathway to 30°C+. This reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in cloud evolution and storm timing, consistent with May climatology averaging 29.5°C highs. Traders await Shenzhen Observatory hourly data and final CMA advisories for resolution-defining observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,480Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF project Shenzhen's May 15 high temperature around 28-29°C under thundershowers and overcast skies, explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 28°C (27.5%), 29°C (26.5%), and 30°C or higher (34.5%). Persistent southerly winds transport Gulf of Thailand moisture, fueling convective activity with 90% precipitation odds that cap solar heating, while the urban heat island effect and potential mid-afternoon clearing offer a pathway to 30°C+. This reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in cloud evolution and storm timing, consistent with May climatology averaging 29.5°C highs. Traders await Shenzhen Observatory hourly data and final CMA advisories for resolution-defining observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes