National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on June 5 point to a daytime high near 86–87°F with scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, which are limiting solar heating and moderating peak temperatures below the June climatological average of 93°F. This pattern of moisture and convective activity has driven trader emphasis on the 84–85°F and 86–87°F ranges as the most probable outcomes. Model guidance shows modest variability in storm timing and coverage that could shift the exact maximum by a degree or two, while historical June extremes above 90°F remain possible only if convection remains suppressed. Real-time observations through the afternoon will refine these market-implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on June 5?
84-85°F 42%
86-87°F 25%
82-83°F 16%
80-81°F 9.0%
$16,167 Vol.
$16,167 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
42%
86-87°F
25%
88°F or higher
9%
84-85°F 42%
86-87°F 25%
82-83°F 16%
80-81°F 9.0%
$16,167 Vol.
$16,167 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
42%
86-87°F
25%
88°F or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on June 5 point to a daytime high near 86–87°F with scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, which are limiting solar heating and moderating peak temperatures below the June climatological average of 93°F. This pattern of moisture and convective activity has driven trader emphasis on the 84–85°F and 86–87°F ranges as the most probable outcomes. Model guidance shows modest variability in storm timing and coverage that could shift the exact maximum by a degree or two, while historical June extremes above 90°F remain possible only if convection remains suppressed. Real-time observations through the afternoon will refine these market-implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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