Democratic incumbent Gil Cisneros holds a commanding position in the CA-31 race ahead of the November 2026 general election. California's top-two primary on June 2 advanced Cisneros with approximately 57 percent of the vote against Republican Eric Ching, setting up a rematch in a district that delivered Cisneros a 59.7 percent victory in 2024. The seat's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by voter registration patterns and recent balloting, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Limited national headwinds or local developments have emerged to narrow the gap, though an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican midterm surge could still alter the trajectory before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-31 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-31 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$6,764 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$3,113 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Gil Cisneros holds a commanding position in the CA-31 race ahead of the November 2026 general election. California's top-two primary on June 2 advanced Cisneros with approximately 57 percent of the vote against Republican Eric Ching, setting up a rematch in a district that delivered Cisneros a 59.7 percent victory in 2024. The seat's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by voter registration patterns and recent balloting, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Limited national headwinds or local developments have emerged to narrow the gap, though an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican midterm surge could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$9,877Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Gil Cisneros holds a commanding position in the CA-31 race ahead of the November 2026 general election. California's top-two primary on June 2 advanced Cisneros with approximately 57 percent of the vote against Republican Eric Ching, setting up a rematch in a district that delivered Cisneros a 59.7 percent victory in 2024. The seat's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by voter registration patterns and recent balloting, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Limited national headwinds or local developments have emerged to narrow the gap, though an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican midterm surge could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$9,877Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Gil Cisneros holds a commanding position in the CA-31 race ahead of the November 2026 general election. California's top-two primary on June 2 advanced Cisneros with approximately 57 percent of the vote against Republican Eric Ching, setting up a rematch in a district that delivered Cisneros a 59.7 percent victory in 2024. The seat's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by voter registration patterns and recent balloting, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Limited national headwinds or local developments have emerged to narrow the gap, though an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican midterm surge could still alter the trajectory before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes