Polymarket traders price an 78% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease in June, driven by the central bank's April 24, 2026, decision to cut by 50 basis points to 14.5%—its eighth consecutive reduction amid cooling inflation at 5.7% as of April 20 and declining household expectations to 12.9%. This reflects subdued consumer demand, modest GDP growth forecasts of 0.5-1.5% for 2026, and a narrowed average key rate projection of 14-14.5% through year-end, signaling cautious monetary policy easing toward the 4% inflation target. A 20% no-change odds accounts for persistent underlying price pressures at 4-5% annualized, with the June 19 meeting as the key catalyst ahead of further inflation data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Rusia en junio?
¿Decisión del Banco de Rusia en junio?
Decrease 79%
No Change 21%
Increase 2.5%
$40,114 Vol.
$40,114 Vol.
19 jun 2026
Decrease
79%
No Change
21%
Increase
3%
Decrease 79%
No Change 21%
Increase 2.5%
$40,114 Vol.
$40,114 Vol.
19 jun 2026
Decrease
$16,242 Vol.
79%
No Change
$8,358 Vol.
21%
Increase
$15,513 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 78% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease in June, driven by the central bank's April 24, 2026, decision to cut by 50 basis points to 14.5%—its eighth consecutive reduction amid cooling inflation at 5.7% as of April 20 and declining household expectations to 12.9%. This reflects subdued consumer demand, modest GDP growth forecasts of 0.5-1.5% for 2026, and a narrowed average key rate projection of 14-14.5% through year-end, signaling cautious monetary policy easing toward the 4% inflation target. A 20% no-change odds accounts for persistent underlying price pressures at 4-5% annualized, with the June 19 meeting as the key catalyst ahead of further inflation data.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volumen
$40,114Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 78% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease in June, driven by the central bank's April 24, 2026, decision to cut by 50 basis points to 14.5%—its eighth consecutive reduction amid cooling inflation at 5.7% as of April 20 and declining household expectations to 12.9%. This reflects subdued consumer demand, modest GDP growth forecasts of 0.5-1.5% for 2026, and a narrowed average key rate projection of 14-14.5% through year-end, signaling cautious monetary policy easing toward the 4% inflation target. A 20% no-change odds accounts for persistent underlying price pressures at 4-5% annualized, with the June 19 meeting as the key catalyst ahead of further inflation data.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$40,114Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price an 78% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease in June, driven by the central bank's April 24, 2026, decision to cut by 50 basis points to 14.5%—its eighth consecutive reduction amid cooling inflation at 5.7% as of April 20 and declining household expectations to 12.9%. This reflects subdued consumer demand, modest GDP growth forecasts of 0.5-1.5% for 2026, and a narrowed average key rate projection of 14-14.5% through year-end, signaling cautious monetary policy easing toward the 4% inflation target. A 20% no-change odds accounts for persistent underlying price pressures at 4-5% annualized, with the June 19 meeting as the key catalyst ahead of further inflation data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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