Abelardo de la Espriella secured 43.74 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first round, advancing to the June 21 runoff against Iván Cepeda after neither candidate reached a majority. His commanding market position on the 40-45 percent band reflects this confirmed plurality, driven by rapid late-campaign gains among voters prioritizing security and a hardline stance against armed groups. As a political outsider and criminal-defense attorney without prior elected office, de la Espriella outperformed earlier polling averages through emphasis on institutional strength and anti-corruption messaging. Center-right consolidation and endorsements from figures such as former presidents Álvaro Uribe and Iván Duque further bolstered his first-round total, while the left-wing candidate’s narrower path limited broader opposition fragmentation. The result aligns with historical patterns of outsider surges in polarized Colombian contests, though final certification and any residual counting disputes remain the only outstanding factors for full market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAbelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
40-45% 99.3%
25-30% 2.8%
45%+ 1.0%
20-25% <1%
$12,411 Vol.
$12,411 Vol.
31 may 2026
<20%
<1%
20-25%
1%
25-30%
3%
30-35%
<1%
35-40%
<1%
40-45%
99%
45%+
1%
40-45% 99.3%
25-30% 2.8%
45%+ 1.0%
20-25% <1%
$12,411 Vol.
$12,411 Vol.
31 may 2026
<20%
$726 Vol.
<1%
20-25%
$1,448 Vol.
1%
25-30%
$1,456 Vol.
3%
30-35%
$1,237 Vol.
<1%
35-40%
$1,681 Vol.
<1%
40-45%
$2,895 Vol.
99%
45%+
$2,968 Vol.
1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella secured 43.74 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first round, advancing to the June 21 runoff against Iván Cepeda after neither candidate reached a majority. His commanding market position on the 40-45 percent band reflects this confirmed plurality, driven by rapid late-campaign gains among voters prioritizing security and a hardline stance against armed groups. As a political outsider and criminal-defense attorney without prior elected office, de la Espriella outperformed earlier polling averages through emphasis on institutional strength and anti-corruption messaging. Center-right consolidation and endorsements from figures such as former presidents Álvaro Uribe and Iván Duque further bolstered his first-round total, while the left-wing candidate’s narrower path limited broader opposition fragmentation. The result aligns with historical patterns of outsider surges in polarized Colombian contests, though final certification and any residual counting disputes remain the only outstanding factors for full market resolution.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ET
Volumen
$12,411Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella secured 43.74 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first round, advancing to the June 21 runoff against Iván Cepeda after neither candidate reached a majority. His commanding market position on the 40-45 percent band reflects this confirmed plurality, driven by rapid late-campaign gains among voters prioritizing security and a hardline stance against armed groups. As a political outsider and criminal-defense attorney without prior elected office, de la Espriella outperformed earlier polling averages through emphasis on institutional strength and anti-corruption messaging. Center-right consolidation and endorsements from figures such as former presidents Álvaro Uribe and Iván Duque further bolstered his first-round total, while the left-wing candidate’s narrower path limited broader opposition fragmentation. The result aligns with historical patterns of outsider surges in polarized Colombian contests, though final certification and any residual counting disputes remain the only outstanding factors for full market resolution.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volumen
$12,411Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella secured 43.74 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first round, advancing to the June 21 runoff against Iván Cepeda after neither candidate reached a majority. His commanding market position on the 40-45 percent band reflects this confirmed plurality, driven by rapid late-campaign gains among voters prioritizing security and a hardline stance against armed groups. As a political outsider and criminal-defense attorney without prior elected office, de la Espriella outperformed earlier polling averages through emphasis on institutional strength and anti-corruption messaging. Center-right consolidation and endorsements from figures such as former presidents Álvaro Uribe and Iván Duque further bolstered his first-round total, while the left-wing candidate’s narrower path limited broader opposition fragmentation. The result aligns with historical patterns of outsider surges in polarized Colombian contests, though final certification and any residual counting disputes remain the only outstanding factors for full market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes