Despite accelerated settlement expansions, including the Israeli security cabinet's secret approval of over 30 new West Bank outposts on April 9, 2026, and ongoing land registration drives criticized as de facto annexation by UN and Amnesty reports in March and February, traders price formal sovereignty extension at just 10% before 2027. Prime Minister Netanyahu shelved explicit annexation plans in September 2025 amid U.S. and UAE pressure, with the Trump administration reiterating opposition to de jure changes while tolerating settlements. Coalition reliance on far-right parties advocating annexation faces diplomatic barriers from Arab states and Europe, alongside no Knesset legislation or official declarations, anchoring the strong "No" consensus—though a government shift or regional crisis could prompt reversal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
$66,179 Vol.
$66,179 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$66,179 Vol.
$66,179 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite accelerated settlement expansions, including the Israeli security cabinet's secret approval of over 30 new West Bank outposts on April 9, 2026, and ongoing land registration drives criticized as de facto annexation by UN and Amnesty reports in March and February, traders price formal sovereignty extension at just 10% before 2027. Prime Minister Netanyahu shelved explicit annexation plans in September 2025 amid U.S. and UAE pressure, with the Trump administration reiterating opposition to de jure changes while tolerating settlements. Coalition reliance on far-right parties advocating annexation faces diplomatic barriers from Arab states and Europe, alongside no Knesset legislation or official declarations, anchoring the strong "No" consensus—though a government shift or regional crisis could prompt reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
Volume
$66,179End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite accelerated settlement expansions, including the Israeli security cabinet's secret approval of over 30 new West Bank outposts on April 9, 2026, and ongoing land registration drives criticized as de facto annexation by UN and Amnesty reports in March and February, traders price formal sovereignty extension at just 10% before 2027. Prime Minister Netanyahu shelved explicit annexation plans in September 2025 amid U.S. and UAE pressure, with the Trump administration reiterating opposition to de jure changes while tolerating settlements. Coalition reliance on far-right parties advocating annexation faces diplomatic barriers from Arab states and Europe, alongside no Knesset legislation or official declarations, anchoring the strong "No" consensus—though a government shift or regional crisis could prompt reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66,179End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite accelerated settlement expansions, including the Israeli security cabinet's secret approval of over 30 new West Bank outposts on April 9, 2026, and ongoing land registration drives criticized as de facto annexation by UN and Amnesty reports in March and February, traders price formal sovereignty extension at just 10% before 2027. Prime Minister Netanyahu shelved explicit annexation plans in September 2025 amid U.S. and UAE pressure, with the Trump administration reiterating opposition to de jure changes while tolerating settlements. Coalition reliance on far-right parties advocating annexation faces diplomatic barriers from Arab states and Europe, alongside no Knesset legislation or official declarations, anchoring the strong "No" consensus—though a government shift or regional crisis could prompt reversal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions