President Trump's public addresses in April 2026, centered on the U.S.-Iran conflict including Operation Epic Fury airstrikes and Strait of Hormuz tensions, alongside April 29 comments on Ukraine ceasefire talks with Putin, have shaped trader consensus with low Yes probabilities across most outcomes—under 10% for phrases like "N Word," "RINO," or "Discombobulator." "Big League" leads at 36% following confirmed mentions in April 23 and 25 remarks, while "Cocktail" trades at 16%; earlier events like the April 6 Easter Egg Roll and press conference resolved terms such as "Jesus" and "sovereign" Yes. With transcripts pending from White House Correspondents' Dinner and final-day events, uncertainty persists until April 30 cutoff for recorded verbal mentions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$268,622 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
N Word
1%
White House Doctor
4%
Love Trump / Loves Trump
4%
RINO / Republican in Name Only
3%
Trump Was Right About Everything
1%
Discombobulator / Discombobulated
1%
Alien Dot Gov / Aliens Dot Gov
4%
Peacefully and Patriotically
2%
Kennedy Center
4%
America Last
4%
Toronto
2%
Trump Time
5%
Big League
3%
Not an Autopen / Not an Auto Pen
4%
Palestine
2%
Cocktail
3%
Dead by June
2%
Fuck / Fucking / Fucked
3%
Coward
3%
Mustache
2%
Braggadocious
2%
Paper Clip
3%
$268,622 Vol.
N Word
$72,949 Vol.
1%
White House Doctor
$1,317 Vol.
4%
Love Trump / Loves Trump
$1,789 Vol.
4%
RINO / Republican in Name Only
$8,722 Vol.
3%
Trump Was Right About Everything
$1,850 Vol.
1%
Discombobulator / Discombobulated
$5,220 Vol.
1%
Alien Dot Gov / Aliens Dot Gov
$1,877 Vol.
4%
Peacefully and Patriotically
$4,119 Vol.
2%
Kennedy Center
$2,511 Vol.
4%
America Last
$2,061 Vol.
4%
Toronto
$1,891 Vol.
2%
Trump Time
$800 Vol.
5%
Big League
$767 Vol.
3%
Not an Autopen / Not an Auto Pen
$857 Vol.
4%
Palestine
$3,798 Vol.
2%
Cocktail
$416 Vol.
3%
Dead by June
$1,737 Vol.
2%
Fuck / Fucking / Fucked
$12,167 Vol.
3%
Coward
$1,422 Vol.
3%
Mustache
$3,435 Vol.
2%
Braggadocious
$6,653 Vol.
2%
Paper Clip
$4,200 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's public addresses in April 2026, centered on the U.S.-Iran conflict including Operation Epic Fury airstrikes and Strait of Hormuz tensions, alongside April 29 comments on Ukraine ceasefire talks with Putin, have shaped trader consensus with low Yes probabilities across most outcomes—under 10% for phrases like "N Word," "RINO," or "Discombobulator." "Big League" leads at 36% following confirmed mentions in April 23 and 25 remarks, while "Cocktail" trades at 16%; earlier events like the April 6 Easter Egg Roll and press conference resolved terms such as "Jesus" and "sovereign" Yes. With transcripts pending from White House Correspondents' Dinner and final-day events, uncertainty persists until April 30 cutoff for recorded verbal mentions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Volume
$268,622End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's public addresses in April 2026, centered on the U.S.-Iran conflict including Operation Epic Fury airstrikes and Strait of Hormuz tensions, alongside April 29 comments on Ukraine ceasefire talks with Putin, have shaped trader consensus with low Yes probabilities across most outcomes—under 10% for phrases like "N Word," "RINO," or "Discombobulator." "Big League" leads at 36% following confirmed mentions in April 23 and 25 remarks, while "Cocktail" trades at 16%; earlier events like the April 6 Easter Egg Roll and press conference resolved terms such as "Jesus" and "sovereign" Yes. With transcripts pending from White House Correspondents' Dinner and final-day events, uncertainty persists until April 30 cutoff for recorded verbal mentions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$268,622End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's public addresses in April 2026, centered on the U.S.-Iran conflict including Operation Epic Fury airstrikes and Strait of Hormuz tensions, alongside April 29 comments on Ukraine ceasefire talks with Putin, have shaped trader consensus with low Yes probabilities across most outcomes—under 10% for phrases like "N Word," "RINO," or "Discombobulator." "Big League" leads at 36% following confirmed mentions in April 23 and 25 remarks, while "Cocktail" trades at 16%; earlier events like the April 6 Easter Egg Roll and press conference resolved terms such as "Jesus" and "sovereign" Yes. With transcripts pending from White House Correspondents' Dinner and final-day events, uncertainty persists until April 30 cutoff for recorded verbal mentions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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