The State Department's April 28 announcement of a limited-edition "America250" passport, featuring President Trump's image and gold signature on the inside cover to mark the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence, has driven trader consensus to a 73.5% implied probability for issuance by July 31. This commemorative design will be available at select locations starting this summer, alongside standard passports without the image, confirming official plans amid preparations for July 4 festivities. While limited in quantity, the executive branch action via the passport agency solidifies expectations, with markets reflecting low risk of delays despite minor debates over design novelty and traveler preferences. No significant opposition or procedural hurdles have emerged in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
The State Department's April 28 announcement of a limited-edition "America250" passport, featuring President Trump's image and gold signature on the inside cover to mark the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence, has driven trader consensus to a 73.5% implied probability for issuance by July 31. This commemorative design will be available at select locations starting this summer, alongside standard passports without the image, confirming official plans amid preparations for July 4 festivities. While limited in quantity, the executive branch action via the passport agency solidifies expectations, with markets reflecting low risk of delays despite minor debates over design novelty and traveler preferences. No significant opposition or procedural hurdles have emerged in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Volume
$5,707End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
The State Department's April 28 announcement of a limited-edition "America250" passport, featuring President Trump's image and gold signature on the inside cover to mark the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence, has driven trader consensus to a 73.5% implied probability for issuance by July 31. This commemorative design will be available at select locations starting this summer, alongside standard passports without the image, confirming official plans amid preparations for July 4 festivities. While limited in quantity, the executive branch action via the passport agency solidifies expectations, with markets reflecting low risk of delays despite minor debates over design novelty and traveler preferences. No significant opposition or procedural hurdles have emerged in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
Volume
$5,755End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The State Department's April 28 announcement of a limited-edition "America250" passport, featuring President Trump's image and gold signature on the inside cover to mark the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence, has driven trader consensus to a 73.5% implied probability for issuance by July 31. This commemorative design will be available at select locations starting this summer, alongside standard passports without the image, confirming official plans amid preparations for July 4 festivities. While limited in quantity, the executive branch action via the passport agency solidifies expectations, with markets reflecting low risk of delays despite minor debates over design novelty and traveler preferences. No significant opposition or procedural hurdles have emerged in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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