Former FBI Director James Comey self-surrendered to authorities on April 29 in Alexandria, Virginia, following a second federal indictment on April 28 for felony threat charges over a 2025 Instagram post of seashells interpreted by prosecutors as "86 47"—slang for eliminating President Trump. His voluntary court appearance, denial of wrongdoing, and lack of reported bail restrictions or flight risk designations signal strong intent to contest the case domestically through the judicial process. Traders' near-unanimous 97.5% "No" odds reflect this compliance amid no evidence of travel plans, passport seizures, or extradition barriers, consistent with precedents where U.S. officials rarely flee pre-trial. Realistic shifts could stem from abrupt detention orders, health emergencies requiring overseas care, or surprise plea negotiations, though none appear imminent before May 15 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
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May 15, 2026
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May 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Former FBI Director James Comey self-surrendered to authorities on April 29 in Alexandria, Virginia, following a second federal indictment on April 28 for felony threat charges over a 2025 Instagram post of seashells interpreted by prosecutors as "86 47"—slang for eliminating President Trump. His voluntary court appearance, denial of wrongdoing, and lack of reported bail restrictions or flight risk designations signal strong intent to contest the case domestically through the judicial process. Traders' near-unanimous 97.5% "No" odds reflect this compliance amid no evidence of travel plans, passport seizures, or extradition barriers, consistent with precedents where U.S. officials rarely flee pre-trial. Realistic shifts could stem from abrupt detention orders, health emergencies requiring overseas care, or surprise plea negotiations, though none appear imminent before May 15 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$3,241End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Former FBI Director James Comey self-surrendered to authorities on April 29 in Alexandria, Virginia, following a second federal indictment on April 28 for felony threat charges over a 2025 Instagram post of seashells interpreted by prosecutors as "86 47"—slang for eliminating President Trump. His voluntary court appearance, denial of wrongdoing, and lack of reported bail restrictions or flight risk designations signal strong intent to contest the case domestically through the judicial process. Traders' near-unanimous 97.5% "No" odds reflect this compliance amid no evidence of travel plans, passport seizures, or extradition barriers, consistent with precedents where U.S. officials rarely flee pre-trial. Realistic shifts could stem from abrupt detention orders, health emergencies requiring overseas care, or surprise plea negotiations, though none appear imminent before May 15 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,393End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former FBI Director James Comey self-surrendered to authorities on April 29 in Alexandria, Virginia, following a second federal indictment on April 28 for felony threat charges over a 2025 Instagram post of seashells interpreted by prosecutors as "86 47"—slang for eliminating President Trump. His voluntary court appearance, denial of wrongdoing, and lack of reported bail restrictions or flight risk designations signal strong intent to contest the case domestically through the judicial process. Traders' near-unanimous 97.5% "No" odds reflect this compliance amid no evidence of travel plans, passport seizures, or extradition barriers, consistent with precedents where U.S. officials rarely flee pre-trial. Realistic shifts could stem from abrupt detention orders, health emergencies requiring overseas care, or surprise plea negotiations, though none appear imminent before May 15 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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