Recent national polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026 Riksdag election shows the Swedish Social Democratic Party maintaining a clear lead at 32–34 percent, while the Moderate Party and Sweden Democrats trail closely in the high teens to low twenties. This positioning leaves the contest for second place between those two parties, elevating the probability that the narrower of the two finishes third. The Citizens’ Coalition registers modest support in surveys but retains an outside chance among smaller parties. No major shifts in alliances, turnout patterns, or late-campaign events have altered these standings in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus aligned with the stable polling gap between the leading contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 67%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 37%
Liberals (L) 4.8%
Green Party (MP) 4.1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
37%
Moderate Party (M)
57%
Centre Party (C)
2%
Left Party (V)
2%
Christian Democrats (KD)
2%
Green Party (MP)
4%
Liberals (L)
5%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
18%
Moderate Party (M) 67%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 37%
Liberals (L) 4.8%
Green Party (MP) 4.1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$234 Vol.
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$463 Vol.
37%
Moderate Party (M)
$371 Vol.
57%
Centre Party (C)
$524 Vol.
2%
Left Party (V)
$491 Vol.
2%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$547 Vol.
2%
Green Party (MP)
$467 Vol.
4%
Liberals (L)
$434 Vol.
5%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$612 Vol.
18%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent national polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026 Riksdag election shows the Swedish Social Democratic Party maintaining a clear lead at 32–34 percent, while the Moderate Party and Sweden Democrats trail closely in the high teens to low twenties. This positioning leaves the contest for second place between those two parties, elevating the probability that the narrower of the two finishes third. The Citizens’ Coalition registers modest support in surveys but retains an outside chance among smaller parties. No major shifts in alliances, turnout patterns, or late-campaign events have altered these standings in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus aligned with the stable polling gap between the leading contenders.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$4,143End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent national polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026 Riksdag election shows the Swedish Social Democratic Party maintaining a clear lead at 32–34 percent, while the Moderate Party and Sweden Democrats trail closely in the high teens to low twenties. This positioning leaves the contest for second place between those two parties, elevating the probability that the narrower of the two finishes third. The Citizens’ Coalition registers modest support in surveys but retains an outside chance among smaller parties. No major shifts in alliances, turnout patterns, or late-campaign events have altered these standings in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus aligned with the stable polling gap between the leading contenders.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$4,143End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026 Riksdag election shows the Swedish Social Democratic Party maintaining a clear lead at 32–34 percent, while the Moderate Party and Sweden Democrats trail closely in the high teens to low twenties. This positioning leaves the contest for second place between those two parties, elevating the probability that the narrower of the two finishes third. The Citizens’ Coalition registers modest support in surveys but retains an outside chance among smaller parties. No major shifts in alliances, turnout patterns, or late-campaign events have altered these standings in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus aligned with the stable polling gap between the leading contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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