Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting heightened upside risks from surging oil prices amid Middle East tensions and a weakening Korean won, which drove March 2026 headline and core inflation to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below expectations. Recent forecasts underscore this sentiment: IMF raised its 2026 projection to 2.5% in mid-April, AMRO to 2.3%, and consumer inflation expectations jumped to 2.9% in April, exceeding Bank of Korea's (BOK) 2.2% midpoint target amid its steady 2.5% base rate policy. The closely contested 2.4%-2.6% bin at 34.4% highlights balanced views, with next CPI data due early May and BOK's May meeting as key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3.0%+ 46%
2.4% to 2.6% 34.0%
1.8% to 2.0% 22.4%
1.5% to 1.7% 2%
$10,844 Vol.
$10,844 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
32%
1.5% to 1.7%
22%
1.8% to 2.0%
22%
2.1% to 2.3%
30%
2.4% to 2.6%
34%
2.7% to 2.9%
32%
3.0%+
46%
3.0%+ 46%
2.4% to 2.6% 34.0%
1.8% to 2.0% 22.4%
1.5% to 1.7% 2%
$10,844 Vol.
$10,844 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
$950 Vol.
32%
1.5% to 1.7%
$959 Vol.
22%
1.8% to 2.0%
$103 Vol.
22%
2.1% to 2.3%
$159 Vol.
30%
2.4% to 2.6%
$143 Vol.
34%
2.7% to 2.9%
$134 Vol.
32%
3.0%+
$8,397 Vol.
46%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting heightened upside risks from surging oil prices amid Middle East tensions and a weakening Korean won, which drove March 2026 headline and core inflation to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below expectations. Recent forecasts underscore this sentiment: IMF raised its 2026 projection to 2.5% in mid-April, AMRO to 2.3%, and consumer inflation expectations jumped to 2.9% in April, exceeding Bank of Korea's (BOK) 2.2% midpoint target amid its steady 2.5% base rate policy. The closely contested 2.4%-2.6% bin at 34.4% highlights balanced views, with next CPI data due early May and BOK's May meeting as key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$10,844End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting heightened upside risks from surging oil prices amid Middle East tensions and a weakening Korean won, which drove March 2026 headline and core inflation to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below expectations. Recent forecasts underscore this sentiment: IMF raised its 2026 projection to 2.5% in mid-April, AMRO to 2.3%, and consumer inflation expectations jumped to 2.9% in April, exceeding Bank of Korea's (BOK) 2.2% midpoint target amid its steady 2.5% base rate policy. The closely contested 2.4%-2.6% bin at 34.4% highlights balanced views, with next CPI data due early May and BOK's May meeting as key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$10,844End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting heightened upside risks from surging oil prices amid Middle East tensions and a weakening Korean won, which drove March 2026 headline and core inflation to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below expectations. Recent forecasts underscore this sentiment: IMF raised its 2026 projection to 2.5% in mid-April, AMRO to 2.3%, and consumer inflation expectations jumped to 2.9% in April, exceeding Bank of Korea's (BOK) 2.2% midpoint target amid its steady 2.5% base rate policy. The closely contested 2.4%-2.6% bin at 34.4% highlights balanced views, with next CPI data due early May and BOK's May meeting as key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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