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icon for Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Elections·Global Elections

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

icon for Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Elections·Global Elections

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

62%+ 34%

53-56% 33%

<47% 27%

56-59% 26%

Polymarket
NEW

62%+ 34%

53-56% 33%

<47% 27%

56-59% 26%

Polymarket
NEW

<47%

$123 Vol.

27%

47-50%

$19 Vol.

18%

50-53%

$19 Vol.

25%

53-56%

$19 Vol.

33%

56-59%

$19 Vol.

26%

59-62%

$21 Vol.

25%

62%+

$22 Vol.

34%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Trader consensus for Russia State Duma election turnout centers on 50-62% bins, with 62%+ slightly leading at 35% amid historical parliamentary turnouts of 48-52% in 2016 and 2021, balanced against Kremlin administrative mobilization for legitimacy during the Ukraine war. Recent April VCIOM and FOM polls show United Russia at 27-39%, with 7-13% abstention intentions and 18-20% undecided, signaling apathy from economic strains and slipping approval ratings, yet no major developments in the past 30 days have shifted sentiment. The tight race persists due to uncertainty over coerced voting efficacy; separation could arise from party congresses, federal candidate list approvals by July, or war escalations impacting turnout ahead of the September 20 single voting day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$244
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Trader consensus for Russia State Duma election turnout centers on 50-62% bins, with 62%+ slightly leading at 35% amid historical parliamentary turnouts of 48-52% in 2016 and 2021, balanced against Kremlin administrative mobilization for legitimacy during the Ukraine war. Recent April VCIOM and FOM polls show United Russia at 27-39%, with 7-13% abstention intentions and 18-20% undecided, signaling apathy from economic strains and slipping approval ratings, yet no major developments in the past 30 days have shifted sentiment. The tight race persists due to uncertainty over coerced voting efficacy; separation could arise from party congresses, federal candidate list approvals by July, or war escalations impacting turnout ahead of the September 20 single voting day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$244
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "62%+" at 34%, followed by "53-56%" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" is "62%+" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "53-56%" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.