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icon for Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
World·Russia

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

icon for Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
World·Russia

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

3% chance
Polymarket

$1,420,901 Vol.

3% chance
Polymarket

$1,420,901 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.9% implied probability for Vladimir Putin remaining Russian president beyond June 30, reflecting his secure constitutional term until 2030 following 2024's re-election and prior term-limit reset. Recent high-profile activities—including a April 29 phone call with U.S. President Trump discussing Ukraine ceasefire prospects for May 9 Victory Day, meetings with Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov and Iran's foreign minister, and Kremlin affirmations of economic stabilization efforts amid Q1 contraction—underscore operational continuity and elite loyalty despite slowing growth and public discontent voiced by influencers. No verified health issues, coup signals, or elite defections have emerged in the past month, reinforcing stability; rare shifts could stem from unforeseen health events, internal power struggles, or battlefield reversals in Ukraine.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,420,901
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.9% implied probability for Vladimir Putin remaining Russian president beyond June 30, reflecting his secure constitutional term until 2030 following 2024's re-election and prior term-limit reset. Recent high-profile activities—including a April 29 phone call with U.S. President Trump discussing Ukraine ceasefire prospects for May 9 Victory Day, meetings with Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov and Iran's foreign minister, and Kremlin affirmations of economic stabilization efforts amid Q1 contraction—underscore operational continuity and elite loyalty despite slowing growth and public discontent voiced by influencers. No verified health issues, coup signals, or elite defections have emerged in the past month, reinforcing stability; rare shifts could stem from unforeseen health events, internal power struggles, or battlefield reversals in Ukraine.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,420,901
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 3% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 3¢, the market collectively assigns a 3% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?" is 3% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 3% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.