Polymarket traders assign a 66.5% implied probability to the $2.25–$2.50 per dozen range for April 2026 U.S. city average retail price of Grade A large eggs, anchored by Bureau of Labor Statistics March data at $2.348—down 6.1% from February's $2.500—reflecting sustained post-avian influenza supply recovery after 2025's severe outbreaks culled millions of layers. Robust flock rebuilding and soft wholesale benchmarks, with USDA-reported national advertised prices dipping to $1.43 per dozen as of April 24, underpin trader consensus on stabilization near recent levels, while the 33.5% odds on $2.00–$2.25 anticipate modest further softening absent new disruptions. Resolution hinges on the BLS April Consumer Price Index release May 12.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.25–2.50 67%
$2.00–2.25 34%
$2.50–2.75 1.7%
$1.75–2.00 1.4%
$32,071 Vol.
$32,071 Vol.
<$1.75
<1%
$1.75–2.00
1%
$2.00–2.25
34%
$2.25–2.50
67%
$2.50–2.75
2%
$2.75–3.00
1%
$3.00–3.25
<1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
<1%
≥$3.75
<1%
$2.25–2.50 67%
$2.00–2.25 34%
$2.50–2.75 1.7%
$1.75–2.00 1.4%
$32,071 Vol.
$32,071 Vol.
<$1.75
<1%
$1.75–2.00
1%
$2.00–2.25
34%
$2.25–2.50
67%
$2.50–2.75
2%
$2.75–3.00
1%
$3.00–3.25
<1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
<1%
≥$3.75
<1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a 66.5% implied probability to the $2.25–$2.50 per dozen range for April 2026 U.S. city average retail price of Grade A large eggs, anchored by Bureau of Labor Statistics March data at $2.348—down 6.1% from February's $2.500—reflecting sustained post-avian influenza supply recovery after 2025's severe outbreaks culled millions of layers. Robust flock rebuilding and soft wholesale benchmarks, with USDA-reported national advertised prices dipping to $1.43 per dozen as of April 24, underpin trader consensus on stabilization near recent levels, while the 33.5% odds on $2.00–$2.25 anticipate modest further softening absent new disruptions. Resolution hinges on the BLS April Consumer Price Index release May 12.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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