Xavier Becerra holds a commanding lead in Santa Clara County early returns from the June 2 top-two primary, consistent with his position as the statewide Democratic frontrunner and the county's strong Democratic lean. Recent polling and vote counts show him ahead of Steve Hilton, Tom Steyer, and other contenders by double-digit margins in this Bay Area jurisdiction, where Democratic voters have consolidated support behind the former state attorney general and U.S. health secretary. Trader consensus at 95% reflects the limited remaining ballots and structural barriers for challengers like Steyer or local figures such as Matt Mahan. Shifts could occur only with unusually large late-counted mail ballots favoring another candidate or a recount, though current tallies make such outcomes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCalifornia Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner
Xavier Becerra 95.0%
Tom Steyer 3.5%
Katie Porter 3.0%
Steve Hilton 1.6%
$9,682 Vol.
$9,682 Vol.
Xavier Becerra
95%
Katie Porter
3%
Tom Steyer
3%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
1%
Chad Bianco
<1%
Steve Hilton
2%
Matt Mahan
<1%
Xavier Becerra 95.0%
Tom Steyer 3.5%
Katie Porter 3.0%
Steve Hilton 1.6%
$9,682 Vol.
$9,682 Vol.
Xavier Becerra
95%
Katie Porter
3%
Tom Steyer
3%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
1%
Chad Bianco
<1%
Steve Hilton
2%
Matt Mahan
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Santa Clara County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Market Opened: May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Santa Clara County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Xavier Becerra holds a commanding lead in Santa Clara County early returns from the June 2 top-two primary, consistent with his position as the statewide Democratic frontrunner and the county's strong Democratic lean. Recent polling and vote counts show him ahead of Steve Hilton, Tom Steyer, and other contenders by double-digit margins in this Bay Area jurisdiction, where Democratic voters have consolidated support behind the former state attorney general and U.S. health secretary. Trader consensus at 95% reflects the limited remaining ballots and structural barriers for challengers like Steyer or local figures such as Matt Mahan. Shifts could occur only with unusually large late-counted mail ballots favoring another candidate or a recount, though current tallies make such outcomes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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