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icon for California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

icon for California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

Xavier Becerra 95.0%

Tom Steyer 3.5%

Katie Porter 3.0%

Steve Hilton 1.6%

Polymarket

$9,682 Vol.

Xavier Becerra 95.0%

Tom Steyer 3.5%

Katie Porter 3.0%

Steve Hilton 1.6%

Polymarket

$9,682 Vol.

Xavier Becerra

$2,908 Vol.

95%

Katie Porter

$261 Vol.

3%

Tom Steyer

$2,246 Vol.

3%

Tony Thurmond

$371 Vol.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$538 Vol.

1%

Chad Bianco

$514 Vol.

<1%

Steve Hilton

$1,484 Vol.

2%

Matt Mahan

$1,361 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Santa Clara County in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra holds a commanding lead in Santa Clara County early returns from the June 2 top-two primary, consistent with his position as the statewide Democratic frontrunner and the county's strong Democratic lean. Recent polling and vote counts show him ahead of Steve Hilton, Tom Steyer, and other contenders by double-digit margins in this Bay Area jurisdiction, where Democratic voters have consolidated support behind the former state attorney general and U.S. health secretary. Trader consensus at 95% reflects the limited remaining ballots and structural barriers for challengers like Steyer or local figures such as Matt Mahan. Shifts could occur only with unusually large late-counted mail ballots favoring another candidate or a recount, though current tallies make such outcomes improbable.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Santa Clara County in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$9,682
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Santa Clara County in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Santa Clara County in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra holds a commanding lead in Santa Clara County early returns from the June 2 top-two primary, consistent with his position as the statewide Democratic frontrunner and the county's strong Democratic lean. Recent polling and vote counts show him ahead of Steve Hilton, Tom Steyer, and other contenders by double-digit margins in this Bay Area jurisdiction, where Democratic voters have consolidated support behind the former state attorney general and U.S. health secretary. Trader consensus at 95% reflects the limited remaining ballots and structural barriers for challengers like Steyer or local figures such as Matt Mahan. Shifts could occur only with unusually large late-counted mail ballots favoring another candidate or a recount, though current tallies make such outcomes improbable.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Santa Clara County in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$9,682
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Santa Clara County in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Xavier Becerra" at 95%, followed by "Tom Steyer" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner" is "Xavier Becerra" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tom Steyer" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.