California’s 14th congressional district became open following Rep. Eric Swalwell’s April 2026 resignation after sexual misconduct allegations and his suspension of a gubernatorial bid. The June 2 top-two primary featured multiple Democratic candidates, including state Sen. Aisha Wahab, BART board president Melissa Hernandez, San Leandro councilmember Victor Aguilar Jr., and others, alongside Republican Wendy Huang. Early returns showed Wahab in first place, positioning her and one other contender to advance under California’s nonpartisan primary rules. A separate special primary on June 16 will fill the remainder of the current term, with a general election on August 18. Trader assessments reflect Wahab’s party endorsement, overlapping state senate district, and fundraising edge amid the East Bay’s heavily Democratic electorate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-14 Primary Winners
$4,309 Vol.
Aisha Wahab
99%
Melissa Hernandez
77%
Wendy Huang
3%
Rakhi Israni Singh
3%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
3%
Carin Elam
3%
Matt Ortega
3%
Suzanne Chenault
2%
$4,309 Vol.
Aisha Wahab
99%
Melissa Hernandez
77%
Wendy Huang
3%
Rakhi Israni Singh
3%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
3%
Carin Elam
3%
Matt Ortega
3%
Suzanne Chenault
2%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: May 21, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California’s 14th congressional district became open following Rep. Eric Swalwell’s April 2026 resignation after sexual misconduct allegations and his suspension of a gubernatorial bid. The June 2 top-two primary featured multiple Democratic candidates, including state Sen. Aisha Wahab, BART board president Melissa Hernandez, San Leandro councilmember Victor Aguilar Jr., and others, alongside Republican Wendy Huang. Early returns showed Wahab in first place, positioning her and one other contender to advance under California’s nonpartisan primary rules. A separate special primary on June 16 will fill the remainder of the current term, with a general election on August 18. Trader assessments reflect Wahab’s party endorsement, overlapping state senate district, and fundraising edge amid the East Bay’s heavily Democratic electorate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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