Tom Steyer maintains a dominant position in trader assessments for the California governor primary in San Francisco, driven by his prior statewide visibility, fundraising capacity, and established support among Democratic voters in the region. Other listed candidates register minimal implied probability, consistent with limited recent polling traction or organizational strength in key urban precincts. Structural factors such as early endorsements from local officials and alignment with progressive priorities have reinforced this consensus. Late developments including unexpected candidate withdrawals, shifts in turnout among specific voter blocs, or high-profile endorsements from national figures could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCalifornia Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner
California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner
Tom Steyer 96.0%
Xavier Becerra 1.4%
Antonio Villaraigosa <1%
Katie Porter <1%
$8,256 Vol.
$8,256 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
Tom Steyer
96%
Xavier Becerra
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Katie Porter
<1%
Chad Bianco
<1%
Matt Mahan
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Steve Hilton
<1%
Tom Steyer 96.0%
Xavier Becerra 1.4%
Antonio Villaraigosa <1%
Katie Porter <1%
$8,256 Vol.
$8,256 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
Tom Steyer
$3,299 Vol.
96%
Xavier Becerra
$1,579 Vol.
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
$1,062 Vol.
<1%
Katie Porter
$616 Vol.
<1%
Chad Bianco
$542 Vol.
<1%
Matt Mahan
$277 Vol.
<1%
Tony Thurmond
$311 Vol.
<1%
Steve Hilton
$570 Vol.
<1%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Tom Steyer maintains a dominant position in trader assessments for the California governor primary in San Francisco, driven by his prior statewide visibility, fundraising capacity, and established support among Democratic voters in the region. Other listed candidates register minimal implied probability, consistent with limited recent polling traction or organizational strength in key urban precincts. Structural factors such as early endorsements from local officials and alignment with progressive priorities have reinforced this consensus. Late developments including unexpected candidate withdrawals, shifts in turnout among specific voter blocs, or high-profile endorsements from national figures could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Market Opened: May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ET
Volume
$8,256End Date
Jun 2, 2026Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Tom Steyer maintains a dominant position in trader assessments for the California governor primary in San Francisco, driven by his prior statewide visibility, fundraising capacity, and established support among Democratic voters in the region. Other listed candidates register minimal implied probability, consistent with limited recent polling traction or organizational strength in key urban precincts. Structural factors such as early endorsements from local officials and alignment with progressive priorities have reinforced this consensus. Late developments including unexpected candidate withdrawals, shifts in turnout among specific voter blocs, or high-profile endorsements from national figures could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from the City and County of San Francisco in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$8,256End Date
Jun 2, 2026Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tom Steyer maintains a dominant position in trader assessments for the California governor primary in San Francisco, driven by his prior statewide visibility, fundraising capacity, and established support among Democratic voters in the region. Other listed candidates register minimal implied probability, consistent with limited recent polling traction or organizational strength in key urban precincts. Structural factors such as early endorsements from local officials and alignment with progressive priorities have reinforced this consensus. Late developments including unexpected candidate withdrawals, shifts in turnout among specific voter blocs, or high-profile endorsements from national figures could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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