Newark Mayoral Election

Name: Newark Mayoral Election
Start: 2026-03-10T23:43:51.131Z
End: 2026-05-12T00:00:00.000Z

Elections·Mayoral Elections

Newark Mayoral Election

Ras Baraka 95.2%

Louis Shockley 2.7%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.5%

Douglas Davis <1%

$19,182 Vol.

May 12, 2026

Ras Baraka

$3,659 Vol.

95%

Louis Shockley

$1,470 Vol.

Asha Coates-Hamlet

$4,192 Vol.

Douglas Davis

$977 Vol.

Sheila Montague

$1,467 Vol.

Nasheedah Singleton

$1,074 Vol.

<1%

Tanisha Garner

$1,100 Vol.

<1%

Noble Milton

$3,095 Vol.

<1%

Debra Salters

$1,090 Vol.

<1%

Jhamar Youngblood

$1,059 Vol.

<1%

Ras Baraka 95.2%

Louis Shockley 2.7%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.5%

Douglas Davis <1%

$19,182 Vol.

May 12, 2026

Ras Baraka

$3,659 Vol.

95%

Louis Shockley

$1,470 Vol.

Asha Coates-Hamlet

$4,192 Vol.

Douglas Davis

$977 Vol.

Sheila Montague

$1,467 Vol.

Nasheedah Singleton

$1,074 Vol.

<1%

Tanisha Garner

$1,100 Vol.

<1%

Noble Milton

$3,095 Vol.

<1%

Debra Salters

$1,090 Vol.

<1%

Jhamar Youngblood

$1,059 Vol.

<1%

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.

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Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Newark Mayoral Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ras Baraka" at 95%, followed by "Louis Shockley" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Newark Mayoral Election" has generated $19.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Newark Mayoral Election," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Newark Mayoral Election" is "Ras Baraka" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Louis Shockley" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Newark Mayoral Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Newark Mayoral Election." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $19.2K traded on “Newark Mayoral Election,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Newark Mayoral Election," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 95¢ for "Ras Baraka" in the "Newark Mayoral Election" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 95% chance that "Ras Baraka" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 95¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 5¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Newark Mayoral Election" market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 12, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Newark Mayoral Election" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Newark Mayoral Election." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Newark Mayoral Election

Newark Mayoral Election

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