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icon for Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

Perry Johnson 49%

John James 36%

Evan Space 7.1%

Mike Cox 5.2%

Polymarket

$30,960 Vol.

Perry Johnson 49%

John James 36%

Evan Space 7.1%

Mike Cox 5.2%

Polymarket

$30,960 Vol.

Perry Johnson

$10,910 Vol.

49%

John James

$9,348 Vol.

36%

Evan Space

$749 Vol.

7%

Mike Cox

$3,235 Vol.

5%

Anthony Hudson

$970 Vol.

4%

William Null

$828 Vol.

3%

Joyce Gipson

$523 Vol.

7%

Karla Wagner

$747 Vol.

2%

Tom Leonard

$1,343 Vol.

1%

Aric Nesbitt

$1,375 Vol.

<1%

Ralph Rebandt

$931 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions self-funded businessman Perry Johnson as the frontrunner at 48.5% implied probability to win Michigan's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 4, driven by his heavy ad spending that has eroded U.S. Rep. John James' polling lead. A Detroit News poll released April 28 showed James ahead among likely GOP primary voters despite Johnson's surge, following an Emerson survey (April 11-13) with them virtually tied at 21% and 20%, and a Glengariff/Detroit Regional Chamber poll (April 17-19) giving James 37% to Johnson's 20%. In this crowded field, Johnson's financial edge bolsters his path to consolidate support among undecided voters, while James relies on name recognition from prior statewide runs, with trailing candidates like Mike Cox and Joyce Gipson fragmented below 8%.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$30,960
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions self-funded businessman Perry Johnson as the frontrunner at 48.5% implied probability to win Michigan's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 4, driven by his heavy ad spending that has eroded U.S. Rep. John James' polling lead. A Detroit News poll released April 28 showed James ahead among likely GOP primary voters despite Johnson's surge, following an Emerson survey (April 11-13) with them virtually tied at 21% and 20%, and a Glengariff/Detroit Regional Chamber poll (April 17-19) giving James 37% to Johnson's 20%. In this crowded field, Johnson's financial edge bolsters his path to consolidate support among undecided voters, while James relies on name recognition from prior statewide runs, with trailing candidates like Mike Cox and Joyce Gipson fragmented below 8%.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$30,960
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Perry Johnson" at 49%, followed by "John James" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $31K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Perry Johnson" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John James" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.