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Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Jocelyn Benson 88.8%

Chris Swanson 5.0%

Garlin Gilchrist 1.3%

Marni Sawicki <1%

Polymarket

$15,953 Vol.

Jocelyn Benson 88.8%

Chris Swanson 5.0%

Garlin Gilchrist 1.3%

Marni Sawicki <1%

Polymarket

$15,953 Vol.

Jocelyn Benson

$10,927 Vol.

89%

Chris Swanson

$1,862 Vol.

21%

Garlin Gilchrist

$1,710 Vol.

1%

Marni Sawicki

$1,454 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jocelyn Benson holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the August 4, 2026 Michigan Democratic gubernatorial primary due to her early 2025 entry, statewide profile as secretary of state, and consistent polling advantages of 50-plus points over rivals. Chris Swanson, Genesee County sheriff who launched in February 2025, maintains a smaller but persistent share by emphasizing an anti-establishment contrast and appealing to voters seeking alternatives to the Whitmer-aligned candidate. Garlin Gilchrist’s January 2026 withdrawal to pursue the secretary of state nomination has eliminated his earlier viability, while Marni Sawicki remains a negligible factor. Recent polls through May 2026 show limited movement, with Benson at 52-66 percent and substantial undecided voters, underscoring how name recognition and organizational strength shape the implied probabilities ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$15,953
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jocelyn Benson holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the August 4, 2026 Michigan Democratic gubernatorial primary due to her early 2025 entry, statewide profile as secretary of state, and consistent polling advantages of 50-plus points over rivals. Chris Swanson, Genesee County sheriff who launched in February 2025, maintains a smaller but persistent share by emphasizing an anti-establishment contrast and appealing to voters seeking alternatives to the Whitmer-aligned candidate. Garlin Gilchrist’s January 2026 withdrawal to pursue the secretary of state nomination has eliminated his earlier viability, while Marni Sawicki remains a negligible factor. Recent polls through May 2026 show limited movement, with Benson at 52-66 percent and substantial undecided voters, underscoring how name recognition and organizational strength shape the implied probabilities ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$15,953
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jocelyn Benson" at 89%, followed by "Chris Swanson" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $16K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Jocelyn Benson" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chris Swanson" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.