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Politics·Primaries

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Eric Chung 46%

Christina Hines 42%

Tim Greimel 20%

Tripp Adams <1%

Polymarket

$48,777 Vol.

Eric Chung 46%

Christina Hines 42%

Tim Greimel 20%

Tripp Adams <1%

Polymarket

$48,777 Vol.

Eric Chung

$5,076 Vol.

48%

Christina Hines

$4,971 Vol.

42%

Tim Greimel

$32,332 Vol.

20%

Tripp Adams

$3,387 Vol.

<1%

Brian Jaye

$3,011 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Chung leads the MI-10 Democratic primary odds due to his early fundraising edge and establishment support in the open-seat race for Michigan’s 10th Congressional District. As of the latest FEC filings through March 2026, Chung held the highest cash on hand among the three active candidates, bolstered by strong initial receipts and an endorsement from former U.S. Rep. Mark Schauer. Christina Hines, a former prosecutor in Wayne and Washtenaw counties, has closed ground through targeted outreach in Macomb County portions of the district, while Tim Greimel, the former Pontiac mayor and state House minority leader, maintains labor backing but trails in reported resources. With the August 4 primary roughly seven weeks away, voter turnout in southern Macomb and eastern Oakland County precincts, along with any late endorsements or additional spending, remains the key variable that could shift the current trader consensus.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$48,777
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Chung leads the MI-10 Democratic primary odds due to his early fundraising edge and establishment support in the open-seat race for Michigan’s 10th Congressional District. As of the latest FEC filings through March 2026, Chung held the highest cash on hand among the three active candidates, bolstered by strong initial receipts and an endorsement from former U.S. Rep. Mark Schauer. Christina Hines, a former prosecutor in Wayne and Washtenaw counties, has closed ground through targeted outreach in Macomb County portions of the district, while Tim Greimel, the former Pontiac mayor and state House minority leader, maintains labor backing but trails in reported resources. With the August 4 primary roughly seven weeks away, voter turnout in southern Macomb and eastern Oakland County precincts, along with any late endorsements or additional spending, remains the key variable that could shift the current trader consensus.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$48,777
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Chung" at 48%, followed by "Christina Hines" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $48.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Eric Chung" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Christina Hines" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.