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Politics·Michigan Primary

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Michigan Primary

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bridget Brink 83%

William Lawrence 11%

Matt Maasdam 4.3%

Josh Cowen 1.5%

Polymarket

$16,629 Vol.

Bridget Brink 83%

William Lawrence 11%

Matt Maasdam 4.3%

Josh Cowen 1.5%

Polymarket

$16,629 Vol.

Bridget Brink

$5,104 Vol.

83%

William Lawrence

$7,359 Vol.

11%

Matt Maasdam

$983 Vol.

4%

Josh Cowen

$929 Vol.

2%

Elyon Badger

$720 Vol.

2%

Alexandra Prieditis

$836 Vol.

1%

Muhammad Salman Rais

$698 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bridget Brink holds a commanding lead in the MI-07 Democratic primary trader consensus due to her profile as a Michigan native and former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, combined with endorsements from EMILY’s List, the Michigan Education Association, and state Democratic figures. These factors position her as the strongest general-election contender against Republican incumbent Tom Barrett in the competitive Lansing-area district. William Lawrence, a progressive organizer endorsed by Sen. Bernie Sanders, draws support from activist networks but trails in most available polling. Matt Maasdam’s background as a former Navy SEAL has not translated into comparable momentum. Recent candidate forums and union backing have reinforced Brink’s frontrunner status ahead of the August 4 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$16,629
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bridget Brink holds a commanding lead in the MI-07 Democratic primary trader consensus due to her profile as a Michigan native and former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, combined with endorsements from EMILY’s List, the Michigan Education Association, and state Democratic figures. These factors position her as the strongest general-election contender against Republican incumbent Tom Barrett in the competitive Lansing-area district. William Lawrence, a progressive organizer endorsed by Sen. Bernie Sanders, draws support from activist networks but trails in most available polling. Matt Maasdam’s background as a former Navy SEAL has not translated into comparable momentum. Recent candidate forums and union backing have reinforced Brink’s frontrunner status ahead of the August 4 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$16,629
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bridget Brink" at 83%, followed by "William Lawrence" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $16.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Bridget Brink" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "William Lawrence" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.