Recent short-range forecasts from European meteorological centers show Warsaw's June 16 high centering near 19–20 °C under a moderate westerly flow, with scattered clouds and light showers expected to limit daytime heating. Ensemble guidance places the maximum temperature distribution tightly around these values, reflecting typical late-spring variability where afternoon insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and timing of any frontal passage determine whether the peak reaches 19 °C or edges to 20–21 °C. Historical June climatology for Warsaw supports this range, with modest day-to-day spread driven by synoptic steering rather than extreme anomalies. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of June 15 will refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
19°C 35%
20°C 34%
21°C 16.5%
18°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
35%
20°C
34%
21°C
17%
22°C
6%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 35%
20°C 34%
21°C 16.5%
18°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
15°C or below
$323 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$79 Vol.
1%
17°C
$99 Vol.
3%
18°C
$652 Vol.
8%
19°C
$586 Vol.
35%
20°C
$497 Vol.
34%
21°C
$254 Vol.
17%
22°C
$173 Vol.
6%
23°C
$359 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$671 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$170 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from European meteorological centers show Warsaw's June 16 high centering near 19–20 °C under a moderate westerly flow, with scattered clouds and light showers expected to limit daytime heating. Ensemble guidance places the maximum temperature distribution tightly around these values, reflecting typical late-spring variability where afternoon insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and timing of any frontal passage determine whether the peak reaches 19 °C or edges to 20–21 °C. Historical June climatology for Warsaw supports this range, with modest day-to-day spread driven by synoptic steering rather than extreme anomalies. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of June 15 will refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,852End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from European meteorological centers show Warsaw's June 16 high centering near 19–20 °C under a moderate westerly flow, with scattered clouds and light showers expected to limit daytime heating. Ensemble guidance places the maximum temperature distribution tightly around these values, reflecting typical late-spring variability where afternoon insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and timing of any frontal passage determine whether the peak reaches 19 °C or edges to 20–21 °C. Historical June climatology for Warsaw supports this range, with modest day-to-day spread driven by synoptic steering rather than extreme anomalies. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of June 15 will refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,852End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from European meteorological centers show Warsaw's June 16 high centering near 19–20 °C under a moderate westerly flow, with scattered clouds and light showers expected to limit daytime heating. Ensemble guidance places the maximum temperature distribution tightly around these values, reflecting typical late-spring variability where afternoon insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and timing of any frontal passage determine whether the peak reaches 19 °C or edges to 20–21 °C. Historical June climatology for Warsaw supports this range, with modest day-to-day spread driven by synoptic steering rather than extreme anomalies. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of June 15 will refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions