Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office, BBC Weather, and timeanddate.com indicate a daytime high near 18–20°C for Warsaw on June 16 amid lingering cloud cover, passing showers, and moderate westerly winds following a sharp cool-down after early-June heat. This unsettled pattern, driven by a northerly flow and modest instability, caps daytime warming while preventing stronger insolation. Ensemble model spreads and the exact timing of any clearing create the tight clustering between 19°C and 20°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 21°C+ only if breaks in cloud allow greater solar heating than currently projected. Historical June maxima average near 22°C, but the recent synoptic shift has pulled near-term expectations downward.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
20°C 35%
19°C 31%
21°C 16.7%
18°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
31%
20°C
35%
21°C
17%
22°C
5%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 35%
19°C 31%
21°C 16.7%
18°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
15°C or below
$323 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$79 Vol.
1%
17°C
$99 Vol.
2%
18°C
$652 Vol.
7%
19°C
$593 Vol.
31%
20°C
$551 Vol.
35%
21°C
$254 Vol.
17%
22°C
$173 Vol.
5%
23°C
$359 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$671 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$170 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office, BBC Weather, and timeanddate.com indicate a daytime high near 18–20°C for Warsaw on June 16 amid lingering cloud cover, passing showers, and moderate westerly winds following a sharp cool-down after early-June heat. This unsettled pattern, driven by a northerly flow and modest instability, caps daytime warming while preventing stronger insolation. Ensemble model spreads and the exact timing of any clearing create the tight clustering between 19°C and 20°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 21°C+ only if breaks in cloud allow greater solar heating than currently projected. Historical June maxima average near 22°C, but the recent synoptic shift has pulled near-term expectations downward.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,922End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office, BBC Weather, and timeanddate.com indicate a daytime high near 18–20°C for Warsaw on June 16 amid lingering cloud cover, passing showers, and moderate westerly winds following a sharp cool-down after early-June heat. This unsettled pattern, driven by a northerly flow and modest instability, caps daytime warming while preventing stronger insolation. Ensemble model spreads and the exact timing of any clearing create the tight clustering between 19°C and 20°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 21°C+ only if breaks in cloud allow greater solar heating than currently projected. Historical June maxima average near 22°C, but the recent synoptic shift has pulled near-term expectations downward.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,922End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office, BBC Weather, and timeanddate.com indicate a daytime high near 18–20°C for Warsaw on June 16 amid lingering cloud cover, passing showers, and moderate westerly winds following a sharp cool-down after early-June heat. This unsettled pattern, driven by a northerly flow and modest instability, caps daytime warming while preventing stronger insolation. Ensemble model spreads and the exact timing of any clearing create the tight clustering between 19°C and 20°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 21°C+ only if breaks in cloud allow greater solar heating than currently projected. Historical June maxima average near 22°C, but the recent synoptic shift has pulled near-term expectations downward.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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