Forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate a peak of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on June 5, consistent with early-June climatology of 28–30°C highs under moderate northerly flow and coastal sea-breeze effects that limit afternoon heating. This consensus drives the market's leading 30°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, followed by 29°C at 22.5%, with lower odds for 31°C or above reflecting minimal model spread and absence of heatwave or easterly advection signals. Traders incorporate historical analogs showing limited daily variability absent strong synoptic changes, while resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the primary station, with any final afternoon observations or revisions providing the decisive data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 5?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 5?
30°C 55%
29°C 22%
31°C 14%
32°C 5.1%
$16,074 Vol.
$16,074 Vol.
5 jun 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
22%
30°C
55%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 55%
29°C 22%
31°C 14%
32°C 5.1%
$16,074 Vol.
$16,074 Vol.
5 jun 2026
23°C or below
$742 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,222 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$342 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,657 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,943 Vol.
2%
29°C
$2,540 Vol.
22%
30°C
$1,376 Vol.
55%
31°C
$979 Vol.
14%
32°C
$2,569 Vol.
5%
33°C or higher
$2,369 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate a peak of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on June 5, consistent with early-June climatology of 28–30°C highs under moderate northerly flow and coastal sea-breeze effects that limit afternoon heating. This consensus drives the market's leading 30°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, followed by 29°C at 22.5%, with lower odds for 31°C or above reflecting minimal model spread and absence of heatwave or easterly advection signals. Traders incorporate historical analogs showing limited daily variability absent strong synoptic changes, while resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the primary station, with any final afternoon observations or revisions providing the decisive data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$16,074Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate a peak of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on June 5, consistent with early-June climatology of 28–30°C highs under moderate northerly flow and coastal sea-breeze effects that limit afternoon heating. This consensus drives the market's leading 30°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, followed by 29°C at 22.5%, with lower odds for 31°C or above reflecting minimal model spread and absence of heatwave or easterly advection signals. Traders incorporate historical analogs showing limited daily variability absent strong synoptic changes, while resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the primary station, with any final afternoon observations or revisions providing the decisive data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16,074Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate a peak of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on June 5, consistent with early-June climatology of 28–30°C highs under moderate northerly flow and coastal sea-breeze effects that limit afternoon heating. This consensus drives the market's leading 30°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability, followed by 29°C at 22.5%, with lower odds for 31°C or above reflecting minimal model spread and absence of heatwave or easterly advection signals. Traders incorporate historical analogs showing limited daily variability absent strong synoptic changes, while resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the primary station, with any final afternoon observations or revisions providing the decisive data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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