Recent Central Weather Administration ensemble forecasts place Taipei’s June 15 daytime maximum near 29 °C, with spreads of 1–2 °C arising from afternoon thundershowers and variable cloud cover that limit solar heating. In Taipei’s subtropical summer regime, high humidity and weak steering flow favor localized convection that can suppress peak readings below climatological norms of 31–33 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in tightly matched 28 °C (33.5 %) and 29 °C (28.9 %) probabilities, captures this uncertainty in convective timing and coverage. Upcoming model runs and official updates through the afternoon will refine whether sufficient clear periods allow temperatures to reach the higher end of the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on June 15?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 15?
28°C 34%
29°C 28.9%
27°C 22%
30°C 11%
NEW
$16,232 Vol.
NEW
$16,232 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
22%
28°C
34%
29°C
29%
30°C
11%
31°C or higher
3%
28°C 34%
29°C 28.9%
27°C 22%
30°C 11%
NEW
$16,232 Vol.
NEW
$16,232 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
21°C or below
$246 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,152 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$942 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,084 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,488 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,266 Vol.
22%
28°C
$1,393 Vol.
34%
29°C
$1,086 Vol.
29%
30°C
$1,291 Vol.
11%
31°C or higher
$4,001 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration ensemble forecasts place Taipei’s June 15 daytime maximum near 29 °C, with spreads of 1–2 °C arising from afternoon thundershowers and variable cloud cover that limit solar heating. In Taipei’s subtropical summer regime, high humidity and weak steering flow favor localized convection that can suppress peak readings below climatological norms of 31–33 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in tightly matched 28 °C (33.5 %) and 29 °C (28.9 %) probabilities, captures this uncertainty in convective timing and coverage. Upcoming model runs and official updates through the afternoon will refine whether sufficient clear periods allow temperatures to reach the higher end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$16,232End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration ensemble forecasts place Taipei’s June 15 daytime maximum near 29 °C, with spreads of 1–2 °C arising from afternoon thundershowers and variable cloud cover that limit solar heating. In Taipei’s subtropical summer regime, high humidity and weak steering flow favor localized convection that can suppress peak readings below climatological norms of 31–33 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in tightly matched 28 °C (33.5 %) and 29 °C (28.9 %) probabilities, captures this uncertainty in convective timing and coverage. Upcoming model runs and official updates through the afternoon will refine whether sufficient clear periods allow temperatures to reach the higher end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,232End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration ensemble forecasts place Taipei’s June 15 daytime maximum near 29 °C, with spreads of 1–2 °C arising from afternoon thundershowers and variable cloud cover that limit solar heating. In Taipei’s subtropical summer regime, high humidity and weak steering flow favor localized convection that can suppress peak readings below climatological norms of 31–33 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in tightly matched 28 °C (33.5 %) and 29 °C (28.9 %) probabilities, captures this uncertainty in convective timing and coverage. Upcoming model runs and official updates through the afternoon will refine whether sufficient clear periods allow temperatures to reach the higher end of the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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