Singapore's equatorial climate typically produces daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C in mid-June, with the Meteorological Service Singapore noting a forecast maximum of 33°C alongside thundery showers for the period. The leading 31°C outcome (46.5% implied probability) reflects this baseline plus the emerging El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole, which are expected to enhance warmth and reduce rainfall from June onward. Recent heavy showers on June 12 produced a sharp temporary drop to 20.1°C at one station, illustrating how convective activity can moderate peaks, which helps explain the sizable 30°C share (33.5%). Model consensus points to modest day-to-day variability rather than extremes, keeping probabilities for 32°C and above low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on June 15?
Highest temperature in Singapore on June 15?
31°C 46%
30°C 34%
32°C 14%
29°C 1.7%
NEW
$13,639 Vol.
NEW
$13,639 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
34%
31°C
46%
32°C
14%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
30°C 34%
32°C 14%
29°C 1.7%
NEW
$13,639 Vol.
NEW
$13,639 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
25°C or below
$249 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$591 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,217 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,783 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,797 Vol.
34%
31°C
$1,431 Vol.
46%
32°C
$2,318 Vol.
14%
33°C
$2,138 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,754 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$208 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's equatorial climate typically produces daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C in mid-June, with the Meteorological Service Singapore noting a forecast maximum of 33°C alongside thundery showers for the period. The leading 31°C outcome (46.5% implied probability) reflects this baseline plus the emerging El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole, which are expected to enhance warmth and reduce rainfall from June onward. Recent heavy showers on June 12 produced a sharp temporary drop to 20.1°C at one station, illustrating how convective activity can moderate peaks, which helps explain the sizable 30°C share (33.5%). Model consensus points to modest day-to-day variability rather than extremes, keeping probabilities for 32°C and above low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$13,639End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's equatorial climate typically produces daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C in mid-June, with the Meteorological Service Singapore noting a forecast maximum of 33°C alongside thundery showers for the period. The leading 31°C outcome (46.5% implied probability) reflects this baseline plus the emerging El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole, which are expected to enhance warmth and reduce rainfall from June onward. Recent heavy showers on June 12 produced a sharp temporary drop to 20.1°C at one station, illustrating how convective activity can moderate peaks, which helps explain the sizable 30°C share (33.5%). Model consensus points to modest day-to-day variability rather than extremes, keeping probabilities for 32°C and above low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,639End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's equatorial climate typically produces daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C in mid-June, with the Meteorological Service Singapore noting a forecast maximum of 33°C alongside thundery showers for the period. The leading 31°C outcome (46.5% implied probability) reflects this baseline plus the emerging El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole, which are expected to enhance warmth and reduce rainfall from June onward. Recent heavy showers on June 12 produced a sharp temporary drop to 20.1°C at one station, illustrating how convective activity can moderate peaks, which helps explain the sizable 30°C share (33.5%). Model consensus points to modest day-to-day variability rather than extremes, keeping probabilities for 32°C and above low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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