Recent model guidance and coastal climatology for Qingdao on June 16 favor a daily maximum near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southeast flow from the Yellow Sea, where marine air tempers afternoon heating. Trader positioning on 27–28 °C (combined ~68 % implied probability) reflects expectations that lighter sea breezes or brief clearing could allow greater insolation and push readings 3–4 °C above baseline guidance, consistent with variability seen in recent ensemble runs. Differentiation among the tightly grouped 26–28 °C outcomes hinges on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, low-level humidity, and the timing of any diurnal wind shift; official station data and updated NWP output will clarify these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
27°C 38%
28°C 31%
26°C 16%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
16%
27°C
38%
28°C
31%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
9%
27°C 38%
28°C 31%
26°C 16%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
20°C or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$340 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$162 Vol.
1%
24°C
$17 Vol.
1%
25°C
$192 Vol.
2%
26°C
$217 Vol.
16%
27°C
$620 Vol.
38%
28°C
$100 Vol.
31%
29°C
$150 Vol.
12%
30°C or higher
$182 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and coastal climatology for Qingdao on June 16 favor a daily maximum near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southeast flow from the Yellow Sea, where marine air tempers afternoon heating. Trader positioning on 27–28 °C (combined ~68 % implied probability) reflects expectations that lighter sea breezes or brief clearing could allow greater insolation and push readings 3–4 °C above baseline guidance, consistent with variability seen in recent ensemble runs. Differentiation among the tightly grouped 26–28 °C outcomes hinges on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, low-level humidity, and the timing of any diurnal wind shift; official station data and updated NWP output will clarify these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,884End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and coastal climatology for Qingdao on June 16 favor a daily maximum near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southeast flow from the Yellow Sea, where marine air tempers afternoon heating. Trader positioning on 27–28 °C (combined ~68 % implied probability) reflects expectations that lighter sea breezes or brief clearing could allow greater insolation and push readings 3–4 °C above baseline guidance, consistent with variability seen in recent ensemble runs. Differentiation among the tightly grouped 26–28 °C outcomes hinges on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, low-level humidity, and the timing of any diurnal wind shift; official station data and updated NWP output will clarify these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,884End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance and coastal climatology for Qingdao on June 16 favor a daily maximum near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southeast flow from the Yellow Sea, where marine air tempers afternoon heating. Trader positioning on 27–28 °C (combined ~68 % implied probability) reflects expectations that lighter sea breezes or brief clearing could allow greater insolation and push readings 3–4 °C above baseline guidance, consistent with variability seen in recent ensemble runs. Differentiation among the tightly grouped 26–28 °C outcomes hinges on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, low-level humidity, and the timing of any diurnal wind shift; official station data and updated NWP output will clarify these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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