**Forecast models for Panama City, Panama, on June 15 point to a daily maximum near 30–31 °C, reflecting the early wet-season regime of high humidity, scattered convection, and afternoon cloud build-up that typically caps peaks in the low 30s.** Climatological baselines place June averages around 29–30 °C, with 31 °C occurring frequently when insolation is strong before showers develop. Key variables separating the tightly bunched 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes include the timing and coverage of thunderstorms (which reduce solar heating) versus clearer intervals, steering flow from the Caribbean trades, and boundary-layer moisture that influences both instability and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread across these thresholds, consistent with the market’s near-even split between the two leading bins and the lower probability attached to 32 °C or higher. Updated runs from regional and global models expected later today will likely refine the exact maximum and any land–sea breeze modulation along the Pacific coast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on June 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 15?
31°C 43%
30°C 34%
32°C 19%
29°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
34%
31°C
43%
32°C
19%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 34%
32°C 19%
29°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
25°C or below
$59 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$51 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$61 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$258 Vol.
1%
29°C
$373 Vol.
6%
30°C
$193 Vol.
34%
31°C
$283 Vol.
43%
32°C
$277 Vol.
19%
33°C
$274 Vol.
3%
34°C
$19 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Panama City, Panama, on June 15 point to a daily maximum near 30–31 °C, reflecting the early wet-season regime of high humidity, scattered convection, and afternoon cloud build-up that typically caps peaks in the low 30s.**
Climatological baselines place June averages around 29–30 °C, with 31 °C occurring frequently when insolation is strong before showers develop. Key variables separating the tightly bunched 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes include the timing and coverage of thunderstorms (which reduce solar heating) versus clearer intervals, steering flow from the Caribbean trades, and boundary-layer moisture that influences both instability and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread across these thresholds, consistent with the market’s near-even split between the two leading bins and the lower probability attached to 32 °C or higher. Updated runs from regional and global models expected later today will likely refine the exact maximum and any land–sea breeze modulation along the Pacific coast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$1,882End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Panama City, Panama, on June 15 point to a daily maximum near 30–31 °C, reflecting the early wet-season regime of high humidity, scattered convection, and afternoon cloud build-up that typically caps peaks in the low 30s.**
Climatological baselines place June averages around 29–30 °C, with 31 °C occurring frequently when insolation is strong before showers develop. Key variables separating the tightly bunched 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes include the timing and coverage of thunderstorms (which reduce solar heating) versus clearer intervals, steering flow from the Caribbean trades, and boundary-layer moisture that influences both instability and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread across these thresholds, consistent with the market’s near-even split between the two leading bins and the lower probability attached to 32 °C or higher. Updated runs from regional and global models expected later today will likely refine the exact maximum and any land–sea breeze modulation along the Pacific coast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,882End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Panama City, Panama, on June 15 point to a daily maximum near 30–31 °C, reflecting the early wet-season regime of high humidity, scattered convection, and afternoon cloud build-up that typically caps peaks in the low 30s.** Climatological baselines place June averages around 29–30 °C, with 31 °C occurring frequently when insolation is strong before showers develop. Key variables separating the tightly bunched 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes include the timing and coverage of thunderstorms (which reduce solar heating) versus clearer intervals, steering flow from the Caribbean trades, and boundary-layer moisture that influences both instability and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread across these thresholds, consistent with the market’s near-even split between the two leading bins and the lower probability attached to 32 °C or higher. Updated runs from regional and global models expected later today will likely refine the exact maximum and any land–sea breeze modulation along the Pacific coast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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