Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.8% implied probability to a 22°C high in Munich today, backed by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport showing midday temperatures near 18–19°C under light easterly winds and partial clearing skies, aligning with short-range forecasts peaking at 21–22°C late afternoon. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models converge on this under a developing high-pressure ridge enhancing insolation and boundary-layer heating, exceeding the May climatological average of 18°C amid recent mild trends. Realistic challenges include unexpected cumulus cloud buildup capping peaks at 21°C or prolonged sunshine and downslope effects nudging to 23°C, with final DWD advisories and evening soundings key before resolution via Wunderground's EDDM station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on May 9?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 9?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$116,942 Vol.
$116,942 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$116,942 Vol.
$116,942 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.8% implied probability to a 22°C high in Munich today, backed by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport showing midday temperatures near 18–19°C under light easterly winds and partial clearing skies, aligning with short-range forecasts peaking at 21–22°C late afternoon. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models converge on this under a developing high-pressure ridge enhancing insolation and boundary-layer heating, exceeding the May climatological average of 18°C amid recent mild trends. Realistic challenges include unexpected cumulus cloud buildup capping peaks at 21°C or prolonged sunshine and downslope effects nudging to 23°C, with final DWD advisories and evening soundings key before resolution via Wunderground's EDDM station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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