Trader consensus has converged on a 100% implied probability for 26°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on May 9, backed by real-time METAR observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH), the market's official resolution source, which recorded a peak of 26°C (78°F) during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies, moderate 50% relative humidity, and light northerly winds. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models, which projected maxima in the 25–28°C range amid a stable high-pressure ridge following recent cooler weather on May 8 (22°C high). Current evening readings near 19°C with clear conditions preclude further heating. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or anomalous late-day spike from unforecast downslope effects, both exceedingly unlikely as solar insolation wanes. The China Meteorological Administration's daily summary, due post-midnight, will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 9?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 9?
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$73,559 Vol.
$73,559 Vol.
May 9, 2026
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$73,559 Vol.
$73,559 Vol.
May 9, 2026
26°C
$4,814 Vol.
100%
27°C
$4,853 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8,351 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$11,031 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$5,781 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on a 100% implied probability for 26°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on May 9, backed by real-time METAR observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH), the market's official resolution source, which recorded a peak of 26°C (78°F) during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies, moderate 50% relative humidity, and light northerly winds. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models, which projected maxima in the 25–28°C range amid a stable high-pressure ridge following recent cooler weather on May 8 (22°C high). Current evening readings near 19°C with clear conditions preclude further heating. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or anomalous late-day spike from unforecast downslope effects, both exceedingly unlikely as solar insolation wanes. The China Meteorological Administration's daily summary, due post-midnight, will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$73,559End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
Dispute window
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on a 100% implied probability for 26°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on May 9, backed by real-time METAR observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH), the market's official resolution source, which recorded a peak of 26°C (78°F) during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies, moderate 50% relative humidity, and light northerly winds. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models, which projected maxima in the 25–28°C range amid a stable high-pressure ridge following recent cooler weather on May 8 (22°C high). Current evening readings near 19°C with clear conditions preclude further heating. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or anomalous late-day spike from unforecast downslope effects, both exceedingly unlikely as solar insolation wanes. The China Meteorological Administration's daily summary, due post-midnight, will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,559End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
Dispute window
Final
Trader consensus has converged on a 100% implied probability for 26°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on May 9, backed by real-time METAR observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH), the market's official resolution source, which recorded a peak of 26°C (78°F) during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies, moderate 50% relative humidity, and light northerly winds. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models, which projected maxima in the 25–28°C range amid a stable high-pressure ridge following recent cooler weather on May 8 (22°C high). Current evening readings near 19°C with clear conditions preclude further heating. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or anomalous late-day spike from unforecast downslope effects, both exceedingly unlikely as solar insolation wanes. The China Meteorological Administration's daily summary, due post-midnight, will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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