Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts point to a high of 23°C in Munich on May 10, driven by weak high-pressure ridging amid an inflow of cool maritime polar air, boosting trader sentiment for 23°C at 40.5% market-implied odds over 24°C at 31.5%. This close split reflects ensemble model discrepancies—ECMWF and GFS runs vary by 1°C due to uncertain cloud cover (0-30% per Ventusky) and afternoon shower risks (up to 57% chance), which could limit peak solar insolation and boundary-layer warming. Today's midday readings near 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds provide a mild baseline above May climatological averages of 18-20°C. Overnight model refreshes and morning observations will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official airport measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on May 10?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 10?
23°C 47%
24°C 31%
25°C or higher 10%
22°C 9%
$25,627 Vol.
$25,627 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
47%
24°C
31%
25°C or higher
10%
23°C 47%
24°C 31%
25°C or higher 10%
22°C 9%
$25,627 Vol.
$25,627 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
47%
24°C
31%
25°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts point to a high of 23°C in Munich on May 10, driven by weak high-pressure ridging amid an inflow of cool maritime polar air, boosting trader sentiment for 23°C at 40.5% market-implied odds over 24°C at 31.5%. This close split reflects ensemble model discrepancies—ECMWF and GFS runs vary by 1°C due to uncertain cloud cover (0-30% per Ventusky) and afternoon shower risks (up to 57% chance), which could limit peak solar insolation and boundary-layer warming. Today's midday readings near 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds provide a mild baseline above May climatological averages of 18-20°C. Overnight model refreshes and morning observations will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official airport measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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