Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C on May 9, 2026, driven by real-time observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—recording a midday peak of 33°C under persistent cloudy conditions forecasted by Indonesia's BMKG. This aligns with May climatology during the dry season onset, where historical highs at Halim and Kemayoran average 32–34°C, frequently modal at 33°C, moderated by lingering La Niña patterns reducing extreme heat outliers above 35°C. BMKG guidance projected 25–32°C amid thick cloud cover and light winds (2–16 km/h), limiting solar insolation and further warming. Realistic challenges include improbable late-afternoon clearing boosting urban heat island effects to 34°C or post-daylight data revisions, with final BMKG reports expected by evening to confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 9?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 9?
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$68,432 Vol.
$68,432 Vol.
May 9, 2026
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$68,432 Vol.
$68,432 Vol.
May 9, 2026
33°C
$11,980 Vol.
100%
34°C
$5,480 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$4,579 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,721 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,159 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,464 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C on May 9, 2026, driven by real-time observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—recording a midday peak of 33°C under persistent cloudy conditions forecasted by Indonesia's BMKG. This aligns with May climatology during the dry season onset, where historical highs at Halim and Kemayoran average 32–34°C, frequently modal at 33°C, moderated by lingering La Niña patterns reducing extreme heat outliers above 35°C. BMKG guidance projected 25–32°C amid thick cloud cover and light winds (2–16 km/h), limiting solar insolation and further warming. Realistic challenges include improbable late-afternoon clearing boosting urban heat island effects to 34°C or post-daylight data revisions, with final BMKG reports expected by evening to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$68,432End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C on May 9, 2026, driven by real-time observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—recording a midday peak of 33°C under persistent cloudy conditions forecasted by Indonesia's BMKG. This aligns with May climatology during the dry season onset, where historical highs at Halim and Kemayoran average 32–34°C, frequently modal at 33°C, moderated by lingering La Niña patterns reducing extreme heat outliers above 35°C. BMKG guidance projected 25–32°C amid thick cloud cover and light winds (2–16 km/h), limiting solar insolation and further warming. Realistic challenges include improbable late-afternoon clearing boosting urban heat island effects to 34°C or post-daylight data revisions, with final BMKG reports expected by evening to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$68,432End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C on May 9, 2026, driven by real-time observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—recording a midday peak of 33°C under persistent cloudy conditions forecasted by Indonesia's BMKG. This aligns with May climatology during the dry season onset, where historical highs at Halim and Kemayoran average 32–34°C, frequently modal at 33°C, moderated by lingering La Niña patterns reducing extreme heat outliers above 35°C. BMKG guidance projected 25–32°C amid thick cloud cover and light winds (2–16 km/h), limiting solar insolation and further warming. Realistic challenges include improbable late-afternoon clearing boosting urban heat island effects to 34°C or post-daylight data revisions, with final BMKG reports expected by evening to confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions