Latest observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm the high temperature peaked at 29°C during afternoon hours on May 9, under overcast skies that limited solar heating and aligned with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS projecting 28–30°C maxima. This positioning reflects Chengdu's early May climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where typical highs average 26–28°C amid frequent cloud cover and moderate humidity around 70%, curbing extremes. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability underscores this skin-in-the-game agreement with real-time station measurements. Realistic challenges include a rare post-peak data revision by CMA or an improbable late-day clearing boosting temperatures above 30°C, though evening cooling now minimizes such risks; final daily report expected shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 9?
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
31°C or higher <1%
$85,850 Vol.
$85,850 Vol.
May 9, 2026
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
31°C or higher <1%
$85,850 Vol.
$85,850 Vol.
May 9, 2026
29°C
$12,739 Vol.
100%
30°C
$11,931 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$7,323 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm the high temperature peaked at 29°C during afternoon hours on May 9, under overcast skies that limited solar heating and aligned with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS projecting 28–30°C maxima. This positioning reflects Chengdu's early May climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where typical highs average 26–28°C amid frequent cloud cover and moderate humidity around 70%, curbing extremes. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability underscores this skin-in-the-game agreement with real-time station measurements. Realistic challenges include a rare post-peak data revision by CMA or an improbable late-day clearing boosting temperatures above 30°C, though evening cooling now minimizes such risks; final daily report expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$85,850End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
Dispute window
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm the high temperature peaked at 29°C during afternoon hours on May 9, under overcast skies that limited solar heating and aligned with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS projecting 28–30°C maxima. This positioning reflects Chengdu's early May climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where typical highs average 26–28°C amid frequent cloud cover and moderate humidity around 70%, curbing extremes. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability underscores this skin-in-the-game agreement with real-time station measurements. Realistic challenges include a rare post-peak data revision by CMA or an improbable late-day clearing boosting temperatures above 30°C, though evening cooling now minimizes such risks; final daily report expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$85,850End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
Dispute window
Final
Latest observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm the high temperature peaked at 29°C during afternoon hours on May 9, under overcast skies that limited solar heating and aligned with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS projecting 28–30°C maxima. This positioning reflects Chengdu's early May climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where typical highs average 26–28°C amid frequent cloud cover and moderate humidity around 70%, curbing extremes. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability underscores this skin-in-the-game agreement with real-time station measurements. Realistic challenges include a rare post-peak data revision by CMA or an improbable late-day clearing boosting temperatures above 30°C, though evening cooling now minimizes such risks; final daily report expected shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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