Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Paris today, with 99.9% implied probability, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models alongside observations from Météo-France and UK Met Office indicating sunny intervals and highs peaking at 24°C under mild high-pressure influence. Current conditions show temperatures already approaching 23°C midday, consistent with climatological May norms around 19°C but elevated by stable anticyclonic flow. This positioning aligns with real-time data from Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or northerly gusts capping peaks below 24°C, though model agreement and diurnal heating trends make shifts above 25°C or below improbable as the day progresses toward evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on May 9?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 9?
24°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$111,610 Vol.
$111,610 Vol.
May 9, 2026
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$111,610 Vol.
$111,610 Vol.
May 9, 2026
24°C
$16,130 Vol.
100%
25°C
$15,329 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$11,612 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,271 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$5,297 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Paris today, with 99.9% implied probability, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models alongside observations from Météo-France and UK Met Office indicating sunny intervals and highs peaking at 24°C under mild high-pressure influence. Current conditions show temperatures already approaching 23°C midday, consistent with climatological May norms around 19°C but elevated by stable anticyclonic flow. This positioning aligns with real-time data from Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or northerly gusts capping peaks below 24°C, though model agreement and diurnal heating trends make shifts above 25°C or below improbable as the day progresses toward evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$111,610End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Paris today, with 99.9% implied probability, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models alongside observations from Météo-France and UK Met Office indicating sunny intervals and highs peaking at 24°C under mild high-pressure influence. Current conditions show temperatures already approaching 23°C midday, consistent with climatological May norms around 19°C but elevated by stable anticyclonic flow. This positioning aligns with real-time data from Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or northerly gusts capping peaks below 24°C, though model agreement and diurnal heating trends make shifts above 25°C or below improbable as the day progresses toward evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$111,610End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Paris today, with 99.9% implied probability, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models alongside observations from Météo-France and UK Met Office indicating sunny intervals and highs peaking at 24°C under mild high-pressure influence. Current conditions show temperatures already approaching 23°C midday, consistent with climatological May norms around 19°C but elevated by stable anticyclonic flow. This positioning aligns with real-time data from Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or northerly gusts capping peaks below 24°C, though model agreement and diurnal heating trends make shifts above 25°C or below improbable as the day progresses toward evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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