Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 64-65°F in New York City today (97.4% implied probability), backed by the National Weather Service's latest forecast calling for a daytime high near 65°F under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers from a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast. Mid-morning observations at Central Park—the official resolution station—peaked at 64°F amid light northeast winds, high humidity near 70%, and limited solar insolation, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing negligible further warming into the afternoon. This positioning reflects May's climatological average high of 70°F suppressed by recent maritime air influx, with yesterday's maximum below 60°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clearing for solar heating toward 66-67°F (1.8%) or a reinforcing cold front limiting to 62°F or lower (<1%), with hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations providing final clarity by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on May 9?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 9?
64-65°F 99.4%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
70°F or higher <1%
$113,280 Vol.
$113,280 Vol.
May 9, 2026
64-65°F
99%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 99.4%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
70°F or higher <1%
$113,280 Vol.
$113,280 Vol.
May 9, 2026
64-65°F
$16,122 Vol.
99%
66-67°F
$15,333 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$12,805 Vol.
<1%
70°F or higher
$16,281 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 64-65°F in New York City today (97.4% implied probability), backed by the National Weather Service's latest forecast calling for a daytime high near 65°F under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers from a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast. Mid-morning observations at Central Park—the official resolution station—peaked at 64°F amid light northeast winds, high humidity near 70%, and limited solar insolation, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing negligible further warming into the afternoon. This positioning reflects May's climatological average high of 70°F suppressed by recent maritime air influx, with yesterday's maximum below 60°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clearing for solar heating toward 66-67°F (1.8%) or a reinforcing cold front limiting to 62°F or lower (<1%), with hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations providing final clarity by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$113,280End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 64-65°F in New York City today (97.4% implied probability), backed by the National Weather Service's latest forecast calling for a daytime high near 65°F under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers from a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast. Mid-morning observations at Central Park—the official resolution station—peaked at 64°F amid light northeast winds, high humidity near 70%, and limited solar insolation, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing negligible further warming into the afternoon. This positioning reflects May's climatological average high of 70°F suppressed by recent maritime air influx, with yesterday's maximum below 60°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clearing for solar heating toward 66-67°F (1.8%) or a reinforcing cold front limiting to 62°F or lower (<1%), with hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations providing final clarity by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$113,280End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 64-65°F in New York City today (97.4% implied probability), backed by the National Weather Service's latest forecast calling for a daytime high near 65°F under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers from a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast. Mid-morning observations at Central Park—the official resolution station—peaked at 64°F amid light northeast winds, high humidity near 70%, and limited solar insolation, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing negligible further warming into the afternoon. This positioning reflects May's climatological average high of 70°F suppressed by recent maritime air influx, with yesterday's maximum below 60°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clearing for solar heating toward 66-67°F (1.8%) or a reinforcing cold front limiting to 62°F or lower (<1%), with hourly updates from NOAA monitoring stations providing final clarity by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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